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Forecast

January 27, 2022/report

January 27, 2022

Visibilities this morning are running anywhere from 5 to 10 miles at most locations with just patchy fog here and there. Upper level high pressure is beginning to shift further east over California. With marginally higher pressure aloft, temperatures will respond accordingly, rising into the mid to upper 60s. changes are subtly occurring however. There’s a weak upper low in the Gulf of Alaska which is sliding southward well off shore. This low will park off the California coast this weekend with partly cloudy skies. Behind the system, beginning Tuesday, a low will drop from western Canada with most of the energy diving into the Great Basin and eventually the Desert Southwest. Unfortunately, it appears the chance of rain is waning as a mammoth high buids over the eastern Pacific, sending what had appeared to be a good chance of rain into the interior west and points eastward. This will be a colder pattern, though, with temperatures dropping below average the f irst week of February. We will have to monitor for frost concerns beginning about Wednesday of next week.

 

Forecast: Mostly clear skies through Friday. Mostly clear to occasionally partly cloudy Friday through  Thursday of next week. Patchy morning fog can be expected each day.

 

Short Term:                                                     

Madera 67/34/65/34/62 Reedley 68/34/62/33/63 Dinuba 67/32/67/36/61
Porterville 68/34/68/35/62 Lindsay 67/32/65/34/61 Delano 68/35/68/34/62
Bakersfield 69/41/68/41/61 Taft 65/45/65/45/60 Arfin 68/36/68/36/62
Lamont 67/35/67/36/61 Pixley 67/32/67/34/60 Tulare 66/31/6634/60
Woodlake 67/33/67/35/61 Hanford 68/34/66/36/60 Orosi 66/32/65/33/60

 

Seven Forecast:

Sunday

Partly cloudy

34/62

Monday

Partly cloudy

34/64

Tuesday

Partly cloudy

36/60

Wednesday

Partly cloudy

31/57

Thursday

Partly cloudy

31/50

                                                 

Two Week Outlook:  February 1 through February 7: If this model has any credence, we should see at least some precipitation, especially between the 2 and the 4. Temperatures will sag below average.

 

February:  The guidance on this model does not show any particular pattern that would favor temperatures or precipitation. Basically what it’s saying is there’s equal chances of above or below average rain as well as above or below average temperatures. Flip a coin.

 

February, March, April: There are no dominant trends on this model favoring above or below average precipitation. Temperatures during this period should be fairly close to seasonal values.

 

Wind Discussion: Winds will be generally at or less than 6 MPH with periods of near calm conditions through Sunday.

 

Rain: Expect dry conditions for the next 7 to 10 days.

 

Frost: as of 6:00am, Reedley, Ivanhoe, and Lindsay were all reporting 30 degrees with McFarland at 29. All other locations are in the low to mid 30s. daytime highs for today and tomorrow will be a bit warmer, generally in the mid to upper 60s as that off shore high moves overhead. Even so, dew points will remain low enough for coldest conditions to dip into the low to mid 30s. lack of rain has led to a dry valley floor, allowing the radiational cooling process to be a bit more enhanced then usual for this time of  year. Widespread low to mid 30s can be expected over the next few nights with isolated frog ponds dipping into the upper 20s briefly. In the longer term, a colder air mass will invade central California next Tuesday through Friday. Since active weather has been knocked out of the forecast for now, we could see highs in the mid to upper 50s with lows in the upper 20s to the mid 30a.

 

 

Lows Tonight:

Terra Bella

Af

Porterville

33

Ivanhoe

31

Woodlake

32

Strathmore

Af

McFarland

30

Ducor

Af

Tea Pot Dome

32

Lindsay

31

Exeter

31

Famoso

33

Madera

Af

Belridge

31

Delano

Af

North Bakersfield

33

Orosi

32

Orange Cove

32

Lindcove

31

Lindcove Hillside

Af

Sanger River Bottom

28

Root Creek

31

Venice Hill

32

Rosedale

Af

Jasmine

33

Arvin

Af

Lamont

Af

Plainview

32

Mettler

Af

Edison

Af

Maricopa

Af

Holland Cree

31

Tivy Valley

Af

Kite Road South

31

Kite Road North

Af

AF=Above Freezing

Actual Humidity Range Yesterday: Delano, 95%/36%  Porterville, 100%/45%.  Midafternoon dew points:  Upper 30s to the lower 40s.  Kern: Low to mid 30s.

Percentage of Sunshine Today/Tomorrow: Visalia: Today: 100%, tomorrow 100%.  Bakersfield: Today: 100%/. Tomorrow, 100%.

 

ET Rates Over the Past Seven Days: Stratford .53, Parlier .44, Arvin 51, Orange Cove .43, Porterville .46, Delano .48. Courtesy University of California *=estimate, NA=not available

Seven Day Soil Temperatures: Stratford, 52, Parlier 50, Arvin, 52, Orange Cove 50, Porterville 49, Delano 46. *=data missing.

Average Temperatures: 57/38.  Record Temperatures: 70/25

Heating Degree Days This Season.  1389 -118, Varies widely from location to location. courtesy of the NWS

courtesy of the NWS

Precipitation:  Seasonal total for Fresno,  5.21 or +.16.  Monthly  .T -1.83

Precipitation for Bakersfield,  Season, 3.56 or  +.70. Month to date  .01 -1.00

Average Temperature this month: 48.0, +1.4 Taken NWS Hanford.

Water year season is from October 1st through September 30.

Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28: Orange Cove, 646, Parlier, 759,  Arvin, 640, Belridge, 701, Shafter, 677, Stratford, 775, Delano, 750, Porterville, 772 courtesy UC Davis  

Sunrise. 7:04, Sunset, 5:20, hours of daylight, 10:14

 

Yesterday’s Weather:

MCE   : Merced AP        153 :  65 /  35 /  0.00 /

MAE   : Madera AP        253 :  67 /  33 /  0.00 /

FAT   : Fresno AP        333 :  67 /  41 /  0.00 /

HJO   : Hanford AP       242 :  65 /  36 /  0.00 /

NLC   : Lemoore NAS      234 :  67 /  35 /  0.00 /

BFL   : Bakersfield AP   496 :  68 /  39 /  0.00 /

VIS   : Visalia AP       292 :  65 /  36 /  0.00 /

PTV   : Porterville AP   442 :  68 /  36 /  0.00 /

 

 

CLIMATE STATION            TOTAL    2022     PON  2021     PON  NORMAL   NORMAL

STOCKTON                      0.00    8.21   122    3.05    45     6.74    13.45

MODESTO                       0.00    8.15   136    1.74    29     5.99    12.27

MERCED                        0.00    5.85   105    2.72    49     5.56    11.80

MADERA                        0.00    9999203232    1.05    21     4.92    10.79

FRESNO                        0.00    5.21   103    2.66    53     5.05    10.99

HANFORD                       0.00    4.61   122    1.23    32     3.79     8.13

BAKERSFIELD                   0.00    3.56   123    1.10    38     2.90     6.36

BISHOP                        0.00    4.50   194    0.21     9     2.32     4.84

SALINAS                       0.00    6.11    99    1.34    22     6.18    12.58

PASO ROBLES                   0.00    7.34   128    1.19    21     5.73    12.15

SANTA MARIA                   0.00    6.26   104    2.35    39     6.03    13.32

Next report: January 27 PM