June 7, 2022
The flow of modified marine air has ceased from moving down the valley as upper level high pressure slowly increases above California. Blended model information keeps the high at pretty much status quo through Wednesday with readings moving into the mid to upper 90s. The high will begin to expand further north Thursday, allowing hottest locations on the valley floor to tease with the century mark. On Friday, the high will be directly overhead, driving temperatures into triple digits. Models are not quite as bullish on temperatures for Friday and Saturday. Even so, it appears temperatures will climb into the 100 to 105 degree range. The high will begin to break down over the Pacific Northwest Sunday night and Monday. this will be the first phase of a cooling trend early next week as the marine layer rapidly deepens along the coast and moves through the Delta and eventually down the valley. Some models are depicting an even deeper trough of low pressure up and down the west coast Thursday and Friday of next week for what may be a more substantial cool down Thursday and into the following weekend. Any precipitation will remain well to our north.
Forecast: Mostly clear through Thursday. Mostly clear and hot Friday through Sunday. Mostly clear Monday and Tuesday with a cooling trend.
Short Term:
Madera 95/56/97/60/99 | Reedley 97/55/97/61/99 | Dinuba 95/56/96/61/98 |
Porterville 97/56/97/61/99 | Lindsay 95/55/97/60/99 | Delano 97/59/97/63/99 |
Bakersfield 95/65/95/68/98 | Taft 93/68/93/70/97 | Arvin 98/62/99/64/100 |
Lamont 97/60/98/61/100 | Pixley 96/57/96/63/99 | Tulare 95/54/97/59/98 |
Woodlake 95/55/97/61/99 | Hanford 97/60/97/63/99 | Orosi 95/55/97/57/98 |
Seven Day Forecast
Friday
Mostly clear 66/100 |
Saturday
Mostly clear 67/104 |
Sunday
Mostly clear 65/103 |
Monday
Mostly clear 56/95 |
Tuesday
Mostly clear 55/90 |
Two Week Outlook: June 14 through June 20: This model puts California between two main features. The first is a low center over the Pacific Northwest and off shore. The second is a high center over Texas and the Desert Southwest. Neither system will be dominant so near average temperatures can be expected with little to no chance of precipitation.
June: This model shows a high center over New Mexico and Texas extending into California for marginally above average temperatures for the month with the usual dry conditions prevailing.
June, July, August: This model is hinting at a possible active monsoon season this year once we get into July and August. It’s possible we could see more than the usual amount of afternoon and evening thunderstorms over the Sierra Nevada but the valley will be typically dry with above average temperatures.
Wind Discussion: Winds during the afternoons and evenings will be mainly out of the northwest at 5 to 12 mph with locally stronger gusts. Winds during the night and morning hours will be generally at or less than 10 mph with periods of near calm conditions.
Rain: Expect dry conditions for at least the next 7 to 10 days.
Frost: All locations will be above freezing tonight and each night for the foreseeable future.
Actual Humidity Range Yesterday: Delano, 87%/35% Porterville, 91%/32%. Midafternoon dew points: Low to mid 40s. Kern: Low to mid 40s.
Percentage of Sunshine Today/Tomorrow: Visalia: Today: 90%, tomorrow 100%. Bakersfield: Today: 100%/. Tomorrow, 100%.
ET Rates Over the Past Seven Days: Stratford 2.21, Parlier 1.97, Arvin 2.11, Orange Cove 2.08, Porterville 1.82, Delano 1.84. Courtesy University of California *=estimate, NA=not available.
Seven Day Soil Temperatures: Stratford, 69, Parlier 73, Arvin, 75, Orange Cove 78, Porterville 82, Delano NA. *=data missing.
Average Temperatures: 89/59. Record Temperatures: 107/46
Cooling Degree Days This Season. 301 +43. Varies widely from location to location. courtesy of the NWS
courtesy of the NWS
Precipitation: Seasonal total for Fresno, 6.29 or -4.46. Monthly .00 -.08
Precipitation for Bakersfield, Season, 5.40 or -.88. Monthly, .00 -.02
Average Temperature this month: 76.4. +3.1 Taken NWS Hanford.
Water year season is from October 1st through September 30.
Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28: Orange Cove, Parlier, Arvin, Belridge, 1016, Shafter, Stratford, Delano, Porterville. Courtesy UC Davis
Sunrise. 5:40, Sunset, 8:16, hours of daylight, 14.36
Yesterday’s Weather:
MCE : Merced AP 153 : 90 / 57 / 0.00 /
FAT : Fresno AP 333 : 91 / 65 / 0.00 /
HJO : Hanford AP 242 : 92 / 61 / 0.00 /
NLC : Lemoore NAS 234 : 93 / 56 / 0.00 /
BFL : Bakersfield AP 496 : 89 / 64 / 0.00 /
VIS : Visalia AP 292 : 90 / 61 / 0.00 /
PTV : Porterville AP 442 : 91 / 59 / 0.00 /
Rainfall: 24h Seas % LY % Ave 365
- STOCKTON 00 9.81 74 7.88 59 13.30 13.45
- MODESTO 00 8.99 74 7.12 59 12.10 12.27
- MERCED 00 7.44 64 7.00 60 11.68 11.80
- MADERA 00 M M M M 10.66 10.79
- FRESNO 00 6.29 59 6.59 61 10.75 10.99
- HANFORD 00 6.34 79 4.29 53 8.03 8.13
- BAKERSFIELD 00 5.40 86 2.77 44 6.28 6.36
- BISHOP 00 4.75 108 1.62 37 4.38 4.84
- SALINAS T 31 59 5.75 46 12.45 12.58
- PASO ROBLES 00 8.70 73 6.74 56 11.97 12.15
- SANTA MARIA 00 7.79 59 6.87 52 13.17 13.32
Next report: June 8
At John Hibler Weather Forecasting, it is our goal to provide the most accurate forecasts available. Weather forecasting, unlike any other business, invites errors. Weather, by nature, is chaotic. It is our goal to be as accurate as humanly possible.