June 23, 2022/report

June 23, 2022

The low pressure system which resulted in as much as .25 inch of rain in isolated locations yesterday has now moved into western Nevada. This system is weakening and is opening up into a trough. It will continue to pull off to the northeast. Upper level high pressure over Texas is expanding westward and will form a zone of high pressure from the Midwest to California. This will generate a southwesterly flow aloft, creating the proper recipe for hot weather and lower humidity. Most model information this morning indicates at least a week’s worth of afternoon triple digit weather, although one model indicates double digit temperatures with a weak trough of low pressure off shore. This would allow the trough to move inland about Monday. at any rate, the active weather of the past 24 hours is gone and will not return any time soon.

 

Forecast: Mostly clear and hot through Sunday. Mostly clear and continued hot Sunday night through Thursday.

 

Short Term:        

Madera 101/63/102/64/104	Reedley 101/64/103/66/104	Dinuba 100/63/103/64/104
Porterville 101/65/103/66/105	Lindsay 100/63/103/65/105	Delano 102/67/103/67/105
Bakersfield 100/72/103/76/102	Taft 100/76/100/76/102	Arvin 102/65/103/67/105
Lamont 104/67/103/67/105	Pixley 100/67/102/68/104	Tulare 99/63/101/64/103
Woodlake 100/62/101/63/103	Hanford 101/65/103/66/105	Orosi 99/63/101/64/103

 

Seven Day Forecast

Sunday Mostly clear 66/102

Monday Mostly clear 67/101

Tuesday Mostly clear 63/100

Wednesday Mostly clear 62/98

Thursday Mostly clear 62/99

 

Two Week Outlook:  June 27 through July 3  this model shows upper level high pressure over the Desert Southwest linking up with another high off shore. The monsoon season is now well established into Arizona and New Mexico. This far west, however, expect mostly clear skies with above average temperatures.

 

June:  This model shows a high center over New Mexico and Texas extending into California for marginally above average temperatures for the month with the usual dry conditions prevailing.

 

June, July, August: This model is hinting at a possible active monsoon season this year once we get into July and August. It’s possible we could see more than the usual amount of afternoon and evening thunderstorms over the Sierra Nevada but the valley will be typically dry with above average temperatures.

 

Wind Discussion: Winds during the afternoons and evenings will be mainly out of the northwest at 5 to 12 mph through Sunday. Winds during the night and morning hours will be variable to no more than 10 mph.

 

Rain:  Expect dry conditions for the next 7 to 10 days.

 

Frost:  All locations will be above freezing tonight and each night for the foreseeable future.

Actual Humidity Range Yesterday: Delano, 70%/24% Porterville, 71%/19%. Midafternoon dew points:  Upper Mid to upper 50s.  Kern:  Upper 50s to the lower 60s. Percentage of Sunshine Today/Tomorrow: Visalia: Today: 40%, tomorrow 80%.  Bakersfield: Today: 30%/. Tomorrow, 70%.

ET Rates Over the Past Seven Days: Stratford 2.10, Parlier 1.84                                                                                , Arvin 2.03, Orange Cove 2.10, Porterville 1.82, Delano 1.76. Courtesy University of California *=estimate, NA=not available. 

Seven Day Soil Temperatures: Stratford, 69, Parlier 74, Arvin, 76, Orange Cove 79, Porterville 83                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                , Delano 83. *=data missing.

Average Temperatures: 94/63.  Record Temperatures: 109/50

Cooling Degree Days This Season.  486 +56. Varies widely from location to location. courtesy of the NWS

courtesy of the NWS

Precipitation:  Seasonal total for Fresno,  6.29 or -4.90.  Monthly  .T -.23

Precipitation for Bakersfield,  Season, 5.41 or  -.92.  Monthly,  .01 -.04

Average Temperature this month: 76.3 +1.2 Taken NWS Hanford.

Water year season is from October 1^st through September 30.

Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28: Orange Cove, Parlier,  Arvin, Belridge, 1016, Shafter,  Stratford, Delano, Porterville.  Courtesy UC Davis 

Sunrise. 5:41, Sunset, 8:22, hours of daylight, 14.41

Yesterday’s Weather:

MCE   : Merced AP        153 : 100 /  72 /  0.00 /

MAE   : Madera AP        253 :  99 /  67 /  0.11 /

FAT   : Fresno AP        333 : 100 /  76 /     T /

HJO   : Hanford AP       242 : 100 /  68 /     T /

NLC   : Lemoore NAS      234 : 100 /  68 /  0.00 /

BFL   : Bakersfield AP   496 :  97 /  76 /  0.01 /

VIS   : Visalia AP       292 :  98 /  68 /     T /

PTV   : Porterville AP   442 : 100 /  69 /  0.03 /

 

Rainfall:                                                   24h            Seas            %          LY              %             Ave             365

1. STOCKTON 00    9.81    73    7.88    59    13.35    13.45
2. MODESTO 00    8.99    74    7.12    58    12.18    12.27
3. MERCED 00    7.44    63    7.00    60    11.74    11.80
4. MADERA 00       M     M       M     M    10.74    10.79
5. FRESNO 00    6.29    58    6.59    61    10.89    10.99
6. HANFORD                 00    6.34    79    4.29    53     8.07     8.13
7. BAKERSFIELD 00    5.40    86    2.77    44     6.31     6.36
8. BISHOP 00    4.75   107    1.62    36     4.44     4.84
9. SALINAS    00    7.31    59    5.75    46    12.48    12.58
10. PASO ROBLES 00 8.70    73    6.74    56    11.99    12.15
11. SANTA MARIA 00 7.79    59    6.87    52    13.20    13.32

Next report: June 24

At John Hibler Weather Forecasting, it is our goal to provide the most accurate forecasts available. Weather forecasting, unlike any other business, invites errors. Weather, by nature, is chaotic. It is our goal to be as accurate as humanly possible.