August 27, 2022
The latest sounding at Monterey indicated the depth of the marine layer is 1,800 feet. Winds in the Delta are sustained at 19mph. Yesterday, Merced had a high of 99 and Los Banos 97 with readings in the lower 100s in the remainder of the central and south valley. There’s’ just not enough difference in surface pressure to tug that modified sea breeze southward. That will change over the next 24 hours however as a weak trough of low pressure traverses the Pacific Northwest, strengthening the onshore flow enough to allow the modified sea breeze to cool the entire valley. Temperatures will finally drop into double digits. Yesterday was the sixteenth day in a row that Fresno was at or above the century mark, so it will be nice to have a brief respite. However, the next round of triple digits is already on the horizon, beginning the middle of next week when a large high in the upper atmosphere blankets the western states. Its center will be over Utah. Readings by Wednesday will again be in the lower 100s and will stay in the 101 to 106 degree range for several days thereafter. The high will position itself in such a way as to suppress the monsoon too far to the south to affect us. This weather note: It’s been a very quiet hurricane season so far in both the Atlantic and the Pacific, and it appears this trend will continue even though we are approaching the traditional peak of the hurricane season.
Forecast: Mostly clear through Wednesday. Mostly clear Wednesday night through Saturday.
Short Term:
| Madera 100/61/97/60/97 | Reedley 102/62/97/61/97 | Dinuba 100/61/96/61/97 |
| Porterville 102/62/97/62/98 | Lindsay 101/60/97/59/98 | Delano 102/65/97/64/98 |
| Bakersfield 100/73/96/72/96 | Taft 101/73/96/70/96 | Arvin 103/68/98/62/97 |
| Lamont 102/67/97/63/98 | Pixley 101/64/96/64/97 | Tulare 100/61/95/60/97 |
| Woodlake 101/61/97/60/97 | Hanford 102/61/97/62/97 | Orosi 100/60/95/59/95 |
Seven Day Forecast
| Tuesday
Mostly clear 62/97 |
Wednesday
Mostly clear 63/100 |
Thursday
Mostly clear 67/102 |
Friday
Mostly clear 68/103 |
Saturday
Mostly clear 67/103 |
Two Week Outlook: September 3 through September 9: This model shows the monsoon moving slightly to our east, reducing the chance of afternoon and evening thunderstorms over the Sierra Nevada. The trend of above average temperatures this August will continue.
August: This model is quite generic, indicating the same trend of high pressure resulting in generally above average temperatures for the month of August. Precipitation will be near average, which means very little to none. This model continues to show an active monsoon over the west which may visit California from time to time.
August, September, October: Upper level high pressure will be more dominant over the next few months, resulting in somewhat above average temperatures. This year’s monsoon, which has been an active one so far, will result in a continuation of above average precipitation over the Desert Southwest and possibly the Sierra Nevada.
Wind Discussion: Winds will be mainly out of the northwest afternoons and evenings at 5 to 12 mph through Tuesday. Winds during the night and morning hours will be light to near calm.
Rain: Expect dry weather indefinitely.
Frost: All locations will be above freezing tonight and each night for the foreseeable future.
Actual Humidity Range Yesterday: Delano, 59%/21% Porterville, 64%/23%. Midafternoon dew points: Low to mid 50s. Kern: Low to mid 50s.
Percentage of Sunshine Today/Tomorrow: Visalia: Today: 100%, tomorrow 100%. Bakersfield: Today: 100%/. Tomorrow, 100%.
ET Rates Over the Past Seven Days: Stratford 1.95, Parlier 1.80, Arvin 2.12, Orange Cove .NA, Porterville 1.79, Delano 1.83. Courtesy University of California *=estimate, NA=not available.
Seven Day Soil Temperatures: Stratford, 78, Parlier 81, Arvin, 82, Orange Cove 81, Porterville NA, Delano 85. *=data missing.
Average Temperatures: 95/64. Record Temperatures: 109/51
Cooling Degree Days This Season. 1710 +310. Varies widely from location to location. courtesy of the NWS
Precipitation: Seasonal total for Fresno, 6.34 or -4.60. Monthly ..05 +.05
Precipitation for Bakersfield, Season, 5.01 or -.55. Monthly, -.T +.00
Average Temperature this month: 84.6 +4.4 Taken NWS Hanford.
Water year season is from October 1st through September 30.
Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28: Orange Cove, , Parlier, , Arvin, , Belridge, , Shafter, Stratford, , Delano, , Porterville,. courtesy UC Davis
Sunrise. 6:27, Sunset, 7:33, hours of daylight, 13:08
Yesterday’s Weather:
- MCE : Merced 153 : DH1700 / 99 / 64 / 0.00 /
- MAE : Madera 253 : DH1700 / 101 / 62 / 0.00 /
- FAT : Fresno Airport 333 : DH1700 / 102 / 69 / 0.00 /
- HJO : Hanford Airport 242 : DH1700 / 103 / 68 / 0.00 /
- NLC : Lemoore Naval AS 234 : D
H1700 / 105 / 69 / 0.00 / - BFL : Bakersfield Airport 496 : DH1700 / 102 / 75 / 0.00 /
- VIS : Visalia Airport 292 : DH1700 / 100 / 65 / 0.00 /
- ATEC1 : Avenal 787 : DHM / M / 76 / 0.00 /
- PTV : Porterville Airport 442 : DH1700 / 102 / 67 / 0.00 /
- TFTC1 : Taft 759 : DH1648 / 101 / 76 / 0.00 /
- LOSC1 : Los Banos 120 : DH1600 / 97 / 60 / 0.00 /
- Rainfall: 24h Seas % LY % Ave ave 365
STOCKTON 0.00 9.81 73 7.88 59 13.37 13.45
MODESTO 0.00 9.00 74 7.12 58 12.21 12.27
MERCED 0.00 7.44 63 7.00 60 11.75 11.80
MADERA 0.00 M M M M 10.76 10.79
FRESNO 0.00 6.34 58 6.59 60 10.94 10.99
HANFORD 0.00 6.36 79 4.29 53 8.09 8.13
BAKERSFIELD 0.00 5.41 86 2.77 44 6.31 6.36
BISHOP 0.00 5.64 119 1.69 36 4.72 4.84
SALINAS M M M M M M 12.58
PASO ROBLES 0.00 8.70 72 6.74 56 12.09 12.15
SANTA MARIA 0.00 7.79 59 6.87 52 13.25 13.32
Next report: August 29
At John Hibler Weather Forecasting, it is our goal to provide the most accurate forecasts available. Weather forecasting, unlike any other business, invites errors. Weather, by nature, is chaotic. It is our goal to be as accurate as humanly possible.