January 12, 2023
Variable high cloudiness is streaming over central California well ahead of the next Pacific storm which is already spreading rain over western Washington and Oregon. We are currently under a ridge of upper level high pressure which will be no match for the next series of storms. The first will arrive late Friday or Friday night. Quantitative precipitation estimates for the first storm along the Sierra Nevada indicate another 1 to 3 inches of rain will be measured over the Sierra Nevada between Friday evening and Saturday morning. The river forecast center is indicating that this storm will compound flooding issues. We don’t need to be told that. The freezing level is way up at 10,000 feet so initially, falling rain will be over large snowpacks at high elevations. The snow level will eventually lower to 6,000 feet or so after the cold front moves through sometime during the day Saturday. There will be very few gaps between storms between now and Tuesday, meaning there will be little chance for streams and rivers to subside before the next storm moves in. if there’s any good news in all this it’s that no superstorm is in the pipeline, but more of your garden variety Pacific storm. Also, at least initially, these storms will not have a pineapple connection the way we’ve seen so many times this winter. On Wednesday and Thursday, the precipitation pattern will become more showery and by Thursday night and Friday, we may see our break off point between an extremely wet pattern and a dry pattern. even the two week model between the 19 and 25 for the first time in weeks is advertising a dry pattern.
Forecast: Mostly cloudy tonight and Friday with a small chance of showers Friday, especially during the late afternoon. Rain spreading over the valley Friday night. Rain likely Saturday and Saturday night, locally heavy at times. Rain Sunday through Monday night. Showers Tuesday and at times through Thursday
Temperatures:
| Madera 46/63/47/56 | Reedley 45/62/47/57 | Dinuba 44/62/47/56 |
| Porterville 47/65/48/58 | Lindsay 44/64/48/56 | Delano 48/64/48/59 |
| Bakersfield 49/65/49/58 | Taft 51/65/48/58 | Arvin 50/66/48/59 |
| Lamont 50/64/48/58 | Pixley 45/63/47/57 | Tulare 44/62/47/57 |
| Woodlake 45/63/47/57 | Hanford 46/63/48/58 | Orosi 44/62/46/57 |
Wind Discussion: Winds through Friday will be mainly out of the east to southeast at no more than 10 mph. winds Friday night will increase out of the southeast at 8 to 15 mph. winds Saturday through Sunday will be generally out of the southeast at 10 to 20 mph at times with stronger gusts from Fresno County north.
Rain: We will remain dry through midday Friday. There is a small chance of showers Friday afternoon then the chance of rain will increase markedly by Friday evening. Expect rain to continue Saturday and Saturday night, possibly locally heavy at times. Rainfall amounts from Friday night through Sunday may add up to a third of an inch to one inch. As a rule of thumb, totals will be heavier on the east side of the valley. Expect quarter to half inch in western Fresno and Kings Counties. Rainfall totals for the weekend for the valley portion of Kern County will be generally at or below a third of an inch with locally heavy amounts possible for the period Wednesday and Thursday, mainly just showers are anticipated with dry weather beginning Thursday and Friday
Frost: Expect above average conditions.
Lows Tonight:
All locations will be above freezing tonight.
Next report: January 13 morning
At John Hibler Weather Forecasting, it is our goal to provide the most accurate forecasts available. Weather forecasting, unlike any other business, invites errors. Weather, by nature, is chaotic. It is our goal to be as accurate as humanly possible.
January 12, 2023
Variable high cloudiness is streaming over central California well ahead of the next Pacific storm which is already spreading rain over western Washington and Oregon. We are currently under a ridge of upper level high pressure which will be no match for the next series of storms. The first will arrive late Friday or Friday night. Quantitative precipitation estimates for the first storm along the Sierra Nevada indicate another 1 to 3 inches of rain will be measured over the Sierra Nevada between Friday evening and Saturday morning. The river forecast center is indicating that this storm will compound flooding issues. We don’t need to be told that. The freezing level is way up at 10,000 feet so initially, falling rain will be over large snowpacks at high elevations. The snow level will eventually lower to 6,000 feet or so after the cold front moves through sometime during the day Saturday. There will be very few gaps between storms between now and Tuesday, meaning there will be little chance for streams and rivers to subside before the next storm moves in. if there’s any good news in all this it’s that no superstorm is in the pipeline, but more of your garden variety Pacific storm. Also, at least initially, these storms will not have a pineapple connection the way we’ve seen so many times this winter. On Wednesday and Thursday, the precipitation pattern will become more showery and by Thursday night and Friday, we may see our break off point between an extremely wet pattern and a dry pattern. even the two week model between the 19 and 25 for the first time in weeks is advertising a dry pattern.
Forecast: Mostly cloudy tonight and Friday with a small chance of showers Friday, especially during the late afternoon. Rain spreading over the valley Friday night. Rain likely Saturday and Saturday night, locally heavy at times. Rain Sunday through Monday night. Showers Tuesday and at times through Thursday
Temperatures:
| Madera 46/63/47/56 | Reedley 45/62/47/57 | Dinuba 44/62/47/56 |
| Porterville 47/65/48/58 | Lindsay 44/64/48/56 | Delano 48/64/48/59 |
| Bakersfield 49/65/49/58 | Taft 51/65/48/58 | Arvin 50/66/48/59 |
| Lamont 50/64/48/58 | Pixley 45/63/47/57 | Tulare 44/62/47/57 |
| Woodlake 45/63/47/57 | Hanford 46/63/48/58 | Orosi 44/62/46/57 |
Wind Discussion: Winds through Friday will be mainly out of the east to southeast at no more than 10 mph. winds Friday night will increase out of the southeast at 8 to 15 mph. winds Saturday through Sunday will be generally out of the southeast at 10 to 20 mph at times with stronger gusts from Fresno County north.
Rain: We will remain dry through midday Friday. There is a small chance of showers Friday afternoon then the chance of rain will increase markedly by Friday evening. Expect rain to continue Saturday and Saturday night, possibly locally heavy at times. Rainfall amounts from Friday night through Sunday may add up to a third of an inch to one inch. As a rule of thumb, totals will be heavier on the east side of the valley. Expect quarter to half inch in western Fresno and Kings Counties. Rainfall totals for the weekend for the valley portion of Kern County will be generally at or below a third of an inch with locally heavy amounts possible for the period Wednesday and Thursday, mainly just showers are anticipated with dry weather beginning Thursday and Friday
Frost: Expect above average conditions.
Lows Tonight:
All locations will be above freezing tonight.
Next report: January 13 morning
At John Hibler Weather Forecasting, it is our goal to provide the most accurate forecasts available. Weather forecasting, unlike any other business, invites errors. Weather, by nature, is chaotic. It is our goal to be as accurate as humanly possible.