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Forecast

November 1, 2018/pm report

November 1, 2018

Summary: Temperatures are running on the average 4 degrees warmer than 24 hours ago.  High pressure at the mid and high level of the atmosphere is ensconced about 500 miles to the west of the central coast.  The clockwise flow around this high is picking up high level clouds and moving them southward.  Temperatures, especially Friday, will see the warming trend continuing with at least warmer locations in the low to mid 80s which is about 10 to 12 degrees above early November averages.  Forecast models maintain this position overnight then show it moving about 200 miles closer to the coastline Friday, thus the warming trend.

 

Over the weekend, readings will slide back no more than 2 or 3 degrees or so as the high weakens a tad in response to weak systems moving over the top of the high and into the Pacific Northwest.  This change will cause the winds aloft to become northwesterly.  By the middle of next week, a zonal flow will set up over the eastern Pacific, resulting in the continuation of dry and warm weather as the main storm track remains into the Pacific Northwest.

 

One model continues to hold onto the idea of precipitation spreading into central California about the twelfth or thirteenth.  For now, it’s the odd model out so we’ll continue with a dry forecast longer term.

 

Forecast: Other than periods of high clouds at times, it will be mostly clear through Monday.  Mostly clear to possibly occasionally partly cloudy Monday night through Thursday.

 

Short Term:                                                                            

Madera 44/80/46/79 Reedley 43/81/45/78 Dinuba 42/78/44/77
Porterville 44/81/46/79 Lindsay 43/80/45/78 Delano 46/81/47/80
Bakersfield 53/81/55/79 Arvin 50/81/52/79 Taft 57/81/57/80
Lamont 50/80/52/79 Pixley 45/80/47/79 Tulare 43/79/45/77
Woodlake 44/80/46/78 Hanford 44/81/45/79 Orosi 42/79/44/78

 

Winds: Winds will be generally at or less than 12 MPH for the next week to ten days.

 

Rain: Expect dry conditions for at least the next week to ten days.

 

Frost Information: Short and medium range models all indicate patterns which would reflect above freezing conditions for at least the next week and more than likely for the next ten days.

 

Lows Tonight:

All locations will be above freezing tonight.

 

Next Report: Friday morning/November 2