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Forecast

June 8 2019/report

 

June 8, 2019

Summary:One more pleasant day before summer rapidly makes its triumphant return and this time stays for a while.  The trough of low pressure which sent temperatures on a nosedive yesterday is now shifting eastward into the Rocky Mountain region.  Relatively strong upper level high pressure over the eastern Pacific will build over California during the next 72 hours, causing temperatures to rise in excess of 100 degrees by Monday.  Already this morning, even though temperatures on the valley floor are cool, they are warming aloft.

 

The freezing level over Vandenberg has now shot up to 14,900 feet.  It was cool on the valley floor this morning, however, as many ag stations were below the 50 degree mark.  The coldest I could find was 44 at Madera north, which is quite impressive for June 8.  Once this high sets up, it will be with us for a while.

 

By Thursday, a weak trough of low pressure moving through the Pacific Northwest will flatten out the high, creating a westerly flow aloft.  This will last through the weekend and well into the following week.  This pattern will result in generally low to mid 90s with no chance of precipitation.

 

Forecast: Mostly clear skies through Tuesday.  Mostly clear Tuesday night through Saturday.

 

Short Term:                                                                        

Madera 88/55/98/64/102 Reedley 88/57/99/63/101 Dinuba 86/54/96/63/101
Porterville 88/55/99/64/102 Lindsay 87/54/98/64/102 Delano 89/60/99/66/103
Bakersfield 89/65/101/70/103 Taft 90/67/100/73/103 Arvin 90/58/100/68/103
Lamont 89/62/100/68/102 Pixley 89/57/99/67/102 Tulare 87/55/97/65/101
Woodlake 88/56/98/65/101 Hanford 87/57/98/66/102 Orosi 88/55/97/64/101

 

Seven Day Forecast:

Tuesday

Mostly clear

67/103

Wednesday

Mostly clear

68/101

Thursday

Mostly clear

63/95

Friday

Mostly clear

64/95

Saturday

Mostly clear

62/93

 

Two Week Outlook: June 14 through June 20:  This model is showing a stronger ridge of upper level high pressure over the eastern Pacific and western U.S.  As a result, above average temperatures can be expected with little, to any, chance of precipitation.

 

June: The first month of meteorological summer indicates temperatures will only be marginally above average over northern and central California.  In other words, patterns for early summer should be fairly typical.  The usual generally dry conditions will prevail.

 

June, July, August: If this model has any grip at all on the pattern for summer of 2019, it is the fact that it will be a hot one, even hotter than usual.  As a more persistent ridge remains over the west and lower pressure over the middle of the country the usual generally dry conditions will prevail.

 

Winds:  Winds will be generally at or less than 15 MPH through Tuesday and mainly out of the northwest afternoons and evenings.  Periods of near calm conditions can be expected during the later night and morning hours.

 

Rain: Expect dry conditions for at least the next seven to ten days.

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Afternoon Dew Points Today:  Upper 30s to the lower 40s.  Kern: Low to mid 40s. Humidity values ranging from 15%/60% at Hanford.  Bakersfield 15%/55%

Actual Humidity June 7, 2019: Delano, 74%/27% Porterville, 74%/18%

 

Percentage of Sunshine Today/Tomorrow: Visalia: Today: 100%, tomorrow 90%  Bakersfield: Today: 100% Tomorrow: 100%

 

ET Rates Over the Past Seven Days: Stratford 2.04, Parlier 1.88, Blackwell 2.07, Lindcove .NA, Arvin 2.06, Orange Cove 1.94, Porterville 1.86, Delano 1.89. Courtesy University of California *=estimate, NA=not available

 

Seven Day Soil Temperatures: Stratford 73, Parlier 74, Blackwell 80, Lindcove, 73, Arvin, 75, Orange Cove 73, Porterville 79, Delano 79

Record Temperatures: 108/47. Average Temperatures: 90/59

Cooling Degree Days this Season: 291 +48

Courtesy of the NWS

Average temperature for June so far: 78.8 +6.4

Precipitation:  Seasonal total/average/above or below average

Since Oct 1, 2018  Fresno: 11.85 season. or +.67.  Month to Date: .00 -.08

Since Oct 1, 2018,  Bakersfield:  7.80, or +1.50.  Month to Date: .23 +.20

Water year season is from October 1st through September.

Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28: Orange Cove,  Parlier,  Arvin, Shafter, Stratford, Lindcove, Porterville,

Hours at 45 or below 45.

Sunrise: 5:40 am  Sunset: 8:17 pm. Hours of Daylight:  14:34

Yesterday’s Weather:

MAE   : Madera               253 : DH1700 /  86 /  56 / 0.00 /

FAT   : Fresno Airport       333 : DH1700 /  82 /  59 / 0.00 /

HJO   : Hanford Airport      242 : DH1700 /  84 /  58 / 0.00 /

NLC   : Lemoore Naval AS     234 : DH1700 /  83 /  52 / 0.00 /

BFL   : Bakersfield Airport  496 : DH1700 /  84 /  62 / 0.00 /

VIS   : Visalia Airport      292 : DH1700 /  83 /  56 / 0.00 /

ATEC1 : Avenal               787 : DH1655 /  79 /  57 / 0.00 /

PTV   : Porterville Airport  442 : DH1700 /  82 /  75 / 0.00 /

TFTC1 : Taft                 759 : DH1654 /  81 /  63 / 0.00 /

LOSC1 : Los Banos            120 : DH1600 /  79 /  54 / 0.00 /

 

 

 

Rainfall:  Water year Oct 1st through September 30th

24hr             Season        %            L.Y.               %               Ave.      Ave. yearly total

STOCKTON                      0.00   18.37   134    9.22    67    13.72    14.06

MODESTO                       0.00   13.35   105    8.17    64    12.76    13.11

MERCED                        0.00   13.27   109    7.06    58    12.16    12.50

MADERA                        0.00   11.42    98    7.22    62    11.66    12.02

FRESNO                        0.00   11.85   106    6.73    60    11.18    11.50

HANFORD                       0.00    9.50    97    4.70    48     9.81    10.10

BAKERSFIELD                   0.00    7.80   124    3.95    63     6.30     6.47

BISHOP                        0.00    8.45   186    1.49    33     4.55     5.18

SALINAS                       0.00   13.80   110    7.15    57    12.58    12.83

PASO ROBLES                   0.00   14.88   120    9.62    77    12.44    12.78

SANTA MARIA                   0.00   15.68   114    6.01    44    13.74    13.95

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Next report:  Monday, June 10