Updates
  • Out/pneumonia Pardon the interruption again, folks. John had been coughing more and more frequently lately. Difficult breathing yesterday resulted in an ambulance ride to the local…
  • May 8, 2024 report May 8, 2024 Summary  High pressure aloft is  located 500 miles off the northern California coast. Low pressure is centered over Wyoming and the Dakotas…
  • May 6, 2024 report May 6, 2024 Summary  An elongated trough of low pressure extends from the Gulf of Alaska to the Pacific Northwest while high pressure is setting…
  • May 4, 2024 report May 4, 2024 Summary  A low pressure center is off the coast of the Pacific Northwest this morning. This low will move southwestward into northern…
  • May 2, 2024 report May 2, 2024 Summary  upper level high pressure is upwelling ahead of a low pressure system located in the northeast Pacific. This will drive temperatures…
Forecast

June 11, 2019/report

June 11, 2019

Summary: There are two high centers.  To our northwest is a high center off the California/Oregon border with another high center over central Baja.  These two centers interconnect right over California.  Plenty of warm, subsiding air aloft associated with these highs will drive temperatures to near record values today as most locations will range between 104 and 108.  There are some high, thin clouds over the south valley this  morning associated with the west/southwest flow aloft, but they will have no impact on temperature readings.  Satellite imagery is indicating there is no fog or low clouds along the northern or central coast due to a weak off shore surface flow.

 

Today should be the hottest in this mini heat wave.  The high center to our northwest will begin to weaken and flatten out.  Most locations by Thursday will drop into the upper 90s and lower 100s.  Finally, temperatures will fall back to marginally above average over the weekend as a flat zone of high pressure stretches from the eastern Pacific inland  over California then into the Desert Southwest.

 

This will be a rather short summary due to the fact there is simply not a lot to talk about.  It’s a bit too early for the monsoon season and for now it does not show up on medium range models.  So, after this spike upward in temperatures, typical early summer weather will prevail with temperatures generally marginally above seasonal averages.

 

Forecast: Other than some high, thin clouds at times, it will be mostly clear and hot through Wednesday.  Mostly clear and less hot Thursday through Tuesday.

 

Short Term:                                                                        

Madera 105/66/104/66/98 Reedley 105/67/103/66/99 Dinuba 104/65/103/64/98
Porterville 106/66/105/65/99 Lindsay 105/65/104/64/99 Delano 106/69/103/68/100
Bakersfield 107/77/103/74/100 Taft 106/80/103/78/99 Arvin 108/73/103/70/101
Lamont 107/74/103/70/100 Pixley 106/67/104/66/99 Tulare 104/65/103/64/98
Woodlake 105/66/104/65/98 Hanford 106/68/103/68/99 Orosi 105/65/103/64/99

 

Seven Day Forecast:

Friday

Mostly clear

62/95

Saturday

Mostly clear

61/94

Sunday

Mostly clear

61/94

Monday

Mostly clear

64/96

Tuesday

Mostly clear

63/95

 

Two Week Outlook: June 18 through June 24:  The summertime ridge of upper level high pressure is projected to be over and along the eastern Pacific during this time frame.  It will bring with it above average temperatures while dampening any chance of precipitation.

 

 

June: The first month of meteorological summer indicates temperatures will only be marginally above average over northern and central California.  In other words, patterns for early summer should be fairly typical.  The usual generally dry conditions will prevail.

 

June, July, August: If this model has any grip at all on the pattern for summer of 2019, it is the fact that it will be a hot one, even hotter than usual.  As a more persistent ridge remains over the west and lower pressure over the middle of the country the usual generally dry conditions will prevail.

 

Winds:  Winds will be generally at or below 15 MPH through Friday.

 

Rain: Expect dry conditions for at least the next seven to ten days.

___________________________________________________________________________________________

Afternoon Dew Points Today:  Mid to upper 40s.  Kern: Low to mid 40s. Humidity values ranging from 15%/70% at Hanford.  Bakersfield 15%/55%

Actual Humidity June 10, 2019: Delano, 78%/21% Porterville, 78%/15%

 

Percentage of Sunshine Today/Tomorrow: Visalia: Today: 80%, tomorrow 90%  Bakersfield: Today: 80% Tomorrow: 90%

 

ET Rates Over the Past Seven Days: Stratford 2.12, Parlier 1.94, Blackwell 2.08, Lindcove .NA, Arvin 2.15, Orange Cove 2.04, Porterville 1.98, Delano 1.93. Courtesy University of California *=estimate, NA=not available

 

Seven Day Soil Temperatures: Stratford 73, Parlier 74, Blackwell 82, Lindcove, 73, Arvin, 75, Orange Cove 75, Porterville 81, Delano 80

Record Temperatures: 106/47. Average Temperatures: 91/60

Cooling Degree Days this Season: 324 +56

Courtesy of the NWS

Average temperature for June so far: 77.9 +5.2

Precipitation:  Seasonal total/average/above or below average

Since Oct 1, 2018  Fresno: 11.85 season. or +.64.  Month to Date: .00 -.11

Since Oct 1, 2018,  Bakersfield:  7.80, or +1.49.  Month to Date: .23 +.19

Water year season is from October 1st through September.

Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28: Orange Cove,  Parlier,  Arvin, Shafter, Stratford, Lindcove, Porterville,

Hours at 45 or below 45.

Sunrise: 5:39 am  Sunset: 8:18 pm. Hours of Daylight:  14:37

Yesterday’s Weather:

MAE   : Madera               253 : DH1700 / 104 /  65 / 0.00 /

FAT   : Fresno Airport       333 : DH1700 / 103 /  70 / 0.00 /

HJO   : Hanford Airport      242 : DH1700 / 103 /  64 / 0.00 /

NLC   : Lemoore Naval AS     234 : DH1700 / 103 /  62 / 0.00 /

BFL   : Bakersfield Airport  496 : DH1600 / 104 /  71 / 0.00 /

VIS   : Visalia Airport      292 : DH1600 / 100 /  63 / 0.00 /

ATEC1 : Avenal               787 : DH1656 / 101 /  66 / 0.00 /

PTV   : Porterville Airport  442 : DH1600 / 102 /  64 / 0.00 /

TFTC1 : Taft                 759 : DH1642 / 100 /  75 / 0.00 /

LOSC1 : Los Banos            120 : DH1600 /  99 /  71 / 0.00 /

 

 

 

Rainfall:  Water year Oct 1st through September 30th

24hr             Season        %            L.Y.               %               Ave.      Ave. yearly total

STOCKTON                      0.00   18.37   134    9.22    67    13.73    14.06

MODESTO                       0.00   13.35   104    8.17    64    12.78    13.11

MERCED                        0.00   13.27   109    7.06    58    12.18    12.50

MADERA                        0.00   11.42    98    7.22    62    11.69    12.02

FRESNO                        0.00   11.85   106    6.73    60    11.21    11.50

HANFORD                       0.00    9.50    97    4.70    48     9.84    10.10

BAKERSFIELD                   0.00    7.80   124    3.95    63     6.31     6.47

BISHOP                        0.00    8.45   184    1.49    33     4.58     5.18

SALINAS                       0.00   13.80   110    7.15    57    12.60    12.83

PASO ROBLES                   0.00   14.88   120    9.62    77    12.44    12.78

SANTA MARIA                   0.00   15.68   114    6.01    44    13.74    13.95

___________________________________________________________________________________________

Next report:  Wednesday, June 12