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Forecast

June 12, 2019/report

June 12, 2019

Summary: Another hot one is on tap today as readings once again soar into the 103 to 107 degree range.  The main center of upper level high pressure is over northern Baja this morning with a ridge extending northward into the Pacific Northwest.  The air above central California is extremely warm with the current freezing level pegged at 16,000 feet.  The subsiding nature of high pressure has crushed the marine layer at Monterey all the way down to 300 feet.

 

Later tonight and Thursday, the high will begin to flatten out over the Pacific Northwest and northern California, allowing very weak ripples of low pressure in the upper atmosphere to move in from the west.  No weather will be associated with this change, but most locations by Thursday will observe temperatures back into double digits.

 

The pattern for the weekend shows weak upper level high pressure just off the California coast with temperatures mainly in the mid to upper 90s through Sunday.  Later next week, some models are portraying a trough of low pressure over the interior west with the eastern Pacific high remaining off shore.  This would allow generally clear skies to continue over California with fairly seasonal temperatures from mid week next week through the following weekend.

 

Forecast: Other than some high, thin clouds at times, it will be mostly clear and hot through Thursday.  Mostly clear and less hot Friday through Wednesday.

 

Short Term:                                                                        

Madera 104/66/98/63/96 Reedley 104/67/99/64/98 Dinuba 103/65/98/63/96
Porterville 105/68/99/65/97 Lindsay 104/64/99/62/97 Delano 105/70/99/66/98
Bakersfield 106/73/100/69/97 Taft 105/76/100/73/98 Arvin 106/72/100/67/98
Lamont 106/72/100/68/98 Pixley 105/68/99/64/97 Tulare 104/65/99/62/97
Woodlake 104/65/99/63/98 Hanford 105/68/100/64/98 Orosi 104/65/99/62/97

 

Seven Day Forecast:

Saturday

Mostly clear

62/96

Sunday

Mostly clear

63/96

Monday

Mostly clear

65/98

Tuesday

Mostly clear

64/100

Wednesday

Mostly clear

65/99

 

Two Week Outlook: June 18 through June 24:  The summertime ridge of upper level high pressure is projected to be over and along the eastern Pacific during this time frame.  It will bring with it above average temperatures while dampening any chance of precipitation.

 

 

June: The first month of meteorological summer indicates temperatures will only be marginally above average over northern and central California.  In other words, patterns for early summer should be fairly typical.  The usual generally dry conditions will prevail.

 

June, July, August: If this model has any grip at all on the pattern for summer of 2019, it is the fact that it will be a hot one, even hotter than usual.  As a more persistent ridge remains over the west and lower pressure over the middle of the country the usual generally dry conditions will prevail.

 

Winds:  Winds will be generally at or below 15 MPH through Saturday.

 

Rain: Expect dry conditions for at least the next seven to ten days.

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Afternoon Dew Points Today:  Low to mid 50s.  Kern: Upper 40s to the lower 50s. Humidity values ranging from 20%/70% at Hanford.  Bakersfield 15%/55%

Actual Humidity June 11, 2019: Delano, 77%/30% Porterville, 81%/17%

 

Percentage of Sunshine Today/Tomorrow: Visalia: Today: 80%, tomorrow 100%  Bakersfield: Today: 90% Tomorrow: 100%

 

ET Rates Over the Past Seven Days: Stratford 2.09, Parlier 1.91, Blackwell 2.02, Lindcove .NA, Arvin 2.16, Orange Cove 2.02, Porterville 1.93, Delano 1.90. Courtesy University of California *=estimate, NA=not available

 

Seven Day Soil Temperatures: Stratford 73, Parlier 74, Blackwell 83, Lindcove, 73, Arvin, 76, Orange Cove 75, Porterville 81, Delano 80

Record Temperatures: 107/47. Average Temperatures: 91/60

Cooling Degree Days this Season: 342 +65

Courtesy of the NWS

Average temperature for June so far: 78.3 +5.5

Precipitation:  Seasonal total/average/above or below average

Since Oct 1, 2018  Fresno: 11.85 season. or +.63.  Month to Date: .00 -.12

Since Oct 1, 2018,  Bakersfield:  7.80, or +1.49.  Month to Date: .23 +.19

Water year season is from October 1st through September.

Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28: Orange Cove,  Parlier,  Arvin, Shafter, Stratford, Lindcove, Porterville,

Hours at 45 or below 45.

Sunrise: 5:39 am  Sunset: 8:1 pm. Hours of Daylight:  14:38

Yesterday’s Weather:

MAE   : Madera               253 : DH1700 / 103 /  68 / 0.00 /

FAT   : Fresno Airport       333 : DH1700 / 103 /  75 / 0.00 /

HJO   : Hanford Airport      242 : DH1700 / 102 /  63 / 0.00 /

NLC   : Lemoore Naval AS     234 : DH1700 / 104 /  63 / 0.00 /

BFL   : Bakersfield Airport  496 : DH1600 / 105 /  74 / 0.00 /

VIS   : Visalia Airport      292 : DH1700 / 103 /  63 / 0.00 /

ATEC1 : Avenal               787 : DH1656 / 100 /  69 / 0.00 /

PTV   : Porterville Airport  442 : DH1700 / 103 /  68 / 0.00 /

TFTC1 : Taft                 759 : DH1656 / 103 /  78 / 0.00 /

LOSC1 : Los Banos            120 : DH1600 / 103 /  71 / 0.00 /

 

 

Rainfall:  Water year Oct 1st through September 30th

24hr             Season        %            L.Y.               %               Ave.      Ave. yearly total

STOCKTON                      0.00   18.37   134    9.22    67    13.74    14.06

MODESTO                       0.00   13.35   104    8.17    64    12.78    13.11

MERCED                        0.00   13.27   109    7.06    58    12.18    12.50

MADERA                        0.00   11.42    98    7.22    62    11.69    12.02

FRESNO                        0.00   11.85   106    6.73    60    11.22    11.50

HANFORD                       0.00    9.50    96    4.70    48     9.85    10.10

BAKERSFIELD                   0.00    7.80   124    3.95    63     6.31     6.47

BISHOP                        0.00    8.45   184    1.49    33     4.58     5.18

SALINAS                       0.00   13.80   110    7.15    57    12.60    12.83

PASO ROBLES                   0.00   14.88   120    9.62    77    12.44    12.78

SANTA MARIA                   0.00   15.68   114    6.01    44    13.74    13.95

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Next report:  Thursday, June 13