November 2, 2019
Summary: A broad area of upper level high pressure remains over the eastern Pacific and the western one-third of the U.S. Freezing levels are around 12,700 feet this afternoon, which isn’t incredibly high but we are in November. A weak upper air disturbance is located just west of San Diego. The counterclockwise circulation around that high has moved high clouds as far north as Kern County. They pose no threat of active weather. Temperatures this afternoon are generally 2 to 3 degrees higher than 24 hours ago as are dew points. Even so, the air mass is very dry with coldest locations tonight again at or slightly below the freezing mark.
For much of next week, afternoon readings will push the 80 degree mark with overnight lows generally in the 30s. by next weekend, some models portray a big ridge building far to the north into the Yukon Territory of Canada, blocking the entire west coast of any storm activity. The new two week model out this afternoon also indicates dry weather all the way through the 16th with above average temperatures while the eastern 2/3 of the U.S. will be engulfed by a cold trough of low pressure.
Forecast: Clear skies through Tuesday. Clear skies will continue Tuesday night through Saturday.
Short Term:
| Madera 32/77/34/79 | Reedley 33/77/35/78 | Dinuba 32/76/34/77 | |
| Porterville 33/78/35/79 | Lindsay 32/77/34/79 | Delano 34/78/35/79 | |
| Bakersfield 44/79/48/80 | Taft 48/79/51/80 | Arvin 36/79/38/81 | |
| Lamont 36/79/38/80 | Pixley 32/77/34/79 | Tulare 32/76/34/79 | |
| Woodlake 33/77/34/78 | Hanford 34/77/36/79 | Orosi 31/77/33/78 | |
Winds: Winds will continue to be at or less than 8 MPH with periods of near calm conditions through Tuesday.
Rain: Expect dry conditions for at least the next 7 to 10 days.
Frost Discussion: Both temperatures and dew points are running on the average 2 to 3 degrees warmer than 24 hours ago. Dew points remain very low for this time of year and this will allow for another night of strong, radiational cooling. There are some high clouds over southern California which may make it as far as southern Kings and Tulare Counties, but it’s doubtful they’ll be dense enough to inhibit the radiational cooling process. Generally speaking, the very coldest locations will chill to 29 to 31 overnight with most other locations between 32 and 36. Hillsides will be above freezing. Dew points will continue to inch upwards each day meaning fewer locations will be below freezing once we get to the Tuesday/Wednesday time frame. Daytime highs will warm nicely with warmest locations, especially in the south valley, possibly making it into the lower 80s.
That westerly flow which was showing up on some models this morning for later in the coming week does not show up now. In fact, it’s possible another off shore flow could develop next weekend. At any rate, nothing dangerous is on the horizon as the pattern is very stable with a big high over the eastern Pacific and the western one-third of the U.S. and a big cold trough from the Great Basin to the middle of the country.
Lows Tonight:
| Terra Bella
33 |
Porterville
33 |
Ivanhoe
31 |
Woodlake
33 |
| Strathmore
32 |
McFarland
31 |
Ducor
34 |
Tea Pot Dome
33 |
| Lindsay
31 |
Exeter
32 |
Famoso
AF |
Madera
33 |
| Belridge
32 |
Delano
AF |
North Bakersfield
AF |
Orosi
32 |
| Orange Cove
33 |
Lindcove
32 |
Lindcove Hillside
AF |
Sanger River Bottom
30 |
| Root creek
31 |
Venice Hill
33 |
Rosedale
AF |
Jasmine
32 |
| Arvin
AF |
Lamont
AF |
Plainview
32 |
Mettler
AF |
| Edison
AF |
Maricopa
AF |
Holland Creek
AF |
Tivy Valley AF |
| Kite Road South
Af |
Kite Road North
AF |
AF=Above Freezing
Next report: Sunday morning/November 3