November 11, 2019
Summary: Upper level high pressure is located roughly 400 miles to the west/southwest of the central coast this afternoon. California remains on the eastern side of this high and as a result, a warm bubble of subsiding air continues to drive temperatures 7 to 10 degrees above average. The latest freezing level over Oakland was pegged at 14,100 feet.
High clouds are beginning to overrun the top of the high. They’ll thicken up as we head to the middle part of the week due to a weather system out over the central Pacific. This storm will weaken as it approaches the coast and will end up as just a weak trough of low pressure moving through the western states Thursday into Friday. Variable cloudiness and slightly cooler temperatures can be expected during this time frame, but temperatures will still be marginally above average.
Following the trough, another ridge of upper level high pressure will build in from the west, allowing temperatures over the weekend to bounce back into the mid 70s or so.
On Monday and Tuesday of next week, a low will drop out of the Gulf of Alaska then will move into the Pacific Northwest and the Great Basin. Models this afternoon show a weaker system than earlier projections, so any hope of precipitation has been officially dashed. From Tuesday of next week through the following weekend, a zonal flow is projected by most models to set up across the Pacific, aiming the storm track at the moisture starved Pacific Northwest. Models, however, are adamant that the storm track will remain far enough to the north to keep California high and dry for at least the next week to possibly ten days.
Forecast: Mostly clear tonight with occasional high clouds. Variable cloudiness Tuesday through Wednesday night. variable cloudiness will continue at times Thursday through Friday. Clearing Friday night. mostly clear Saturday through Sunday night. partly cloudy Monday.
Short Term:
| Madera 40/78/40/78 | Reedley 41/79/41/78 | Dinuba 39/78/40/78 | |
| Porterville 40/80/40/79 | Lindsay 39/79/40/78 | Delano 43/80/43/79 | |
| Bakersfield 52/81/52/80 | Taft 54/80/54/79 | Arvin 46/82/46/80 | |
| Lamont 44/81/44/80 | Pixley 40/79/40/78 | Tulare 39/78/39/78 | |
| Woodlake 40/79/40/78 | Hanford 42/80/42/79 | Orosi 38/79/39/78 | |
Winds: Winds will continue to be at or less than 6 MPH with periods of near calm conditions through Thursday.
Rain: Expect dry conditions for at least the next 7 to 10 days.
Frost Discussion: All locations will be above freezing for the next 7 to 10 days.
Next report: Tuesday morning/November 12