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Forecast

August 7, 2020/report

August 7, 2020

Summary: After a day of sub 90 temperatures, readings will once again start to trend upward as the pool of marine air begins to mix out.  Temperatures at most locations this morning are running about 3 to 5 degrees higher than 24 hours ago.  The marine layer at Monterey has dropped roughly 1,000 feet since yesterday at this time.  At last report, winds at Travis Air Force Base in the Delta were out of the southwest at just 5 MPH.  the trough of low pressure responsible for the brief cooldown will weaken further and will be nudged off shore this weekend as upper level high pressure over the Desert Southwest expands back towards the west coast.  This high will not be especially strong, however Sunday and Monday, hottest locations will climb into the lower 100s.  by the middle of next week, another weak trough of low pressure will move into northern California for a minor cooling trend.  The winds aloft next week will continue to be mainly out of the southwest with virtually cloudless skies continuing.  The only exception will be some buildups over the high Sierra.  Even an isolated thunderstorm or two over the back country can be expected.

 

Forecast:  Clear skies and cooler through Saturday.  Clear skies will continue Saturday night through Friday.

 

Short Term:                                                                        

Madera 92/60/96/63/100 Reedley  93/60/97/63/101 Dinuba 91/59/96/63/99
Porterville 92/60/98/64/101 Lindsay 91/59/97/62/100 Delano 93/63/97/64/101
Bakersfield 92/70/98/70/101 Taft 92/72/98/74/100 Arvin 94/66/98/68/102
Lamont 93/65/98/68/101 Pixley 92/61/97/65/101 Tulare 91/59/96/63/99
Woodlake 91/59/96/63/100 Hanford 91/62/98/65/101 Orosi 91/58/96/63/99

 

Seven Day Forecast:

Monday

Mostly clear

63/101

Tuesday

Mostly clear

62/98

Wednesday

Mostly clear

61/97

Thursday

Mostly clear

62/96

Friday

Mostly clear

61/95

 

Two Week Outlook:  August 14 through August 20;  This model indicates upper level high pressure over the desert southwest will be the more dominant feature, resulting in at least marginally above average temperatures.  The monsoon is still nowhere to be found, so dry dusty conditions will continue.

 

August:  Typically, especially this time of year, long range outlooks by NOAA reflect the global warming madness.  This model indicates above average temperatures and largely dry conditions.

 

August, September, October:  Just like the 30 day outlook, this longer range outlook reflects above average temperatures everywhere, including California.  This model does not reflect either above or below average precipitation, although as we head into September, we will have to keep a closer eye on the tropics.

 

Winds Discussion:  Winds Friday through Monday will be mainly out of the northwest at 5 to 12 MPH afternoons and evenings and 3 to 6 MPH nights and early mornings with periods of near calm conditions.

  

Rain Discussion: Expect dry conditions for the next 7 to 10 days.

Afternoon Dew Points Today: Low to mid 50s.  Kern: Low to mid 50s. Humidity values ranging from 30%/80% at Visalia.  Bakersfield 25%/55%

Actual Humidity range August 6, 2020: Delano, 95%/32%, Porterville, 89%/31%

 

Percentage of Sunshine Today/Tomorrow: Visalia: Today: 100%, tomorrow 100%.  Bakersfield: Today: 100% Tomorrow: 100%

 

ET Rates Over the Past Seven Days: Stratford 1.99, Parlier 1.92, Blackwell Corner 2.14, Arvin 2.22, Orange Cove 2.05, Porterville 1.88, Delano 1.78. Courtesy University of California *=estimate, NA=not available

 

Seven Day Soil Temperatures: Stratford 77, Parlier 79, Blackwell NA, Arvin, 81, Orange Cove 85, Porterville 78, Delano 76

Record Temperatures: 112/54. Average Temperatures: 98/64

Cooling Degree Days this Season: 1248 +243

Courtesy of the NWS

Average temperature for August so far: 79.0 0.3

Precipitation:  Seasonal total for Fresno/average + or 7.63 or -3.69.  Month to Date: .00 -.00

Since Oct 1, 2019,  Bakersfield:  7.20, or +.85.  Month to Date: .00 -.00

Water year season is from October 1st through September.

Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28: Orange Cove,  Parlier,  Arvin, Shafter, Stratford, Delano, Lindcove, Porterville

Hours at 45 or below 45.

Sunrise: 6:11, Sunset: 7:57 pm. Hours of Daylight:  13:49

Yesterday’s Weather:

MCE   : Merced               153 : DH1700 /  87 /  58 / 0.00 /

MAE   : Madera               253 : DH1700 /  87 /  56 / 0.00 /

FAT   : Fresno Airport       333 : DH1700 /  89 /  61 / 0.00 /

HJO   : Hanford Airport      242 : DH1700 /  88 /  61 / 0.00 /

NLC   : Lemoore Naval AS     234 : DH1700 /  90 /  56 / 0.00 /

BFL   : Bakersfield Airport  496 : DH1700 /  89 /  64 / 0.00 /

VIS   : Visalia Airport      292 : DH1700 /  87 /  58 / 0.00 /

ATEC1 : Avenal               787 : DH1631 /  88 /  58 / 0.00 /

PTV   : Porterville Airport  442 : DH1700 /  88 /  58 / 0.00 /

LOSC1 : Los Banos            120 : DH1600 /  87 /  60 / 0.00 /

 

Rainfall:                     24hr    W.Y.    %    Last Y.  %     Ave.     Year ave.

STOCKTON                      0.00    8.35    61   18.37   134    13.76    14.06

MODESTO                       0.00    6.94    54   13.35   104    12.83    13.11

MERCED                        0.00    9.54    78   13.27   109    12.20    12.50

MADERA                        0.00    6.02    51   11.42    97    11.75    12.02

FRESNO                        0.00    7.63    67   11.85   105    11.32    11.50

HANFORD                       0.00    6.62    67    9.50    96     9.91    10.10

BAKERSFIELD                   0.00    7.20   113    7.80   123     6.35     6.47

BISHOP                        0.00    2.25    46    8.47   174     4.86     5.18

SALINAS                       0.00    9.18    73   13.80   109    12.63    12.83

PASO ROBLES                   0.00   11.37    91   14.88   119    12.46    12.78

SANTA MARIA                   0.00   10.61    77   15.68   114    13.79    13.95

 

Next report: August 8/morning