August 14, 2020
Summary: Most of the remnants of former Hurricane Elida have moved west or northwest. However, there’s still a batch of mid and high level clouds which will move through this morning. most of southern California has already cleared out. Yesterday, there were trace amounts of rain on the valley floor with a couple of exceptions. Coalinga recorded .01 while Avenal picked up at .14. The chance of rain is about over now with the exception of the Sierra Nevada.
Now we look ahead to a pending heat wave which will last at least a week. Upper level high pressure is slowly building over Arizona and southern California. Most of the model information this morning projects the center of the high will end up over the Great Basin. Not only is this a pattern conducive for intense heat, it will also create a southerly flow beginning Sunday and lasting through much of next week. Monsoon moisture will occasionally work into central and southern California with daily chances of afternoon and evening thunderstorms over the Sierra Nevada and periods of mid and high level clouds over the valley floor. For now, I don’t believe there will be enough cloud cover to stifle the heat wave.
Triple digits will continue all the way into next weekend. A weak trough moving into the Pacific Northwest just may nudge the strong high further south and east later next weekend for at least a minimal cooling trend.
Forecast: partly cloudy this morning. Clearing and hot this afternoon. Mostly clear Saturday and continued hot. Partly cloudy Saturday evening through Monday and continued hot. Mostly clear and continued hot Monday night through Friday with occasional periods of mid and high level clouds.
Short Term:
| Madera 105/73/107/76/106 | Reedley 105/73/107/75/106 | Dinuba 104/72/106/75/105 |
| Porterville 106/74/108/76/107 | Lindsay 105/73/107/75/105 | Delano 106/77/108/78/106 |
| Bakersfield 107/83/109/83/107 | Taft 105/85/107/86/106 | Arvin 106/78/110/80/107 |
| Lamont 106/78/109/79/107 | Pixley 105/73/107/75/106 | Tulare 104/72/106/75/105 |
| Woodlake 105/72/107/75/106 | Hanford 105/74/108/77/106 | Orosi 104/72/106/74/105 |
Seven Day Forecast:
| Monday
Mostly clear 74/105 |
Tuesday
Mostly clear 74/106 |
Wednesday
Mostly clear 75/106 |
Thursday
Mostly clear 74/107 |
Friday
Mostly clear 72/104 |
Two Week Outlook: August 20 through August 26: This model indicates upper level high pressure over the desert southwest will be the more dominant feature, resulting in at least marginally above average temperatures. The monsoon is still nowhere to be found, so dry dusty conditions will continue.
August: Typically, especially this time of year, long range outlooks by NOAA reflect the global warming madness. This model indicates above average temperatures and largely dry conditions.
August, September, October: Just like the 30 day outlook, this longer range outlook reflects above average temperatures everywhere, including California. This model does not reflect either above or below average precipitation, although as we head into September, we will have to keep a closer eye on the tropics.
Winds Discussion: Winds through Monday will be mainly out of the northwest at 5 to 12 MPH afternoons and evenings and 3 to 6 MPH nights and early mornings with periods of near calm conditions.
Rain Discussion: No rain is expected for at least the next 7 to 10 days.
Afternoon Dew Points Today: Low to mid 60s. Kern: Upper 50s to the lower 60s.
Actual Humidity range August 13, 2020: Delano, 70%/26%, Porterville, 78%/28%
Percentage of Sunshine Today/Tomorrow: Visalia: Today: 70%, tomorrow 90%. Bakersfield: Today: 70% Tomorrow: 80%
ET Rates Over the Past Seven Days: Stratford 1.74, Parlier 1.74, Blackwell Corner 2.02, Arvin NA, Orange Cove 1.88, Porterville 1.79, Delano 1.74. Courtesy University of California *=estimate, NA=not available.
Seven Day Soil Temperatures: Stratford 77, Parlier 81, Blackwell NA, Arvin, 80, Orange Cove 85, Porterville 78, Delano 76
Record Temperatures: 112/54. Average Temperatures: 98/64
Cooling Degree Days this Season: 1370 +267
Courtesy of the NWS
Average temperature for August so far: 80.7 +1.6
Precipitation: Seasonal total for Fresno/average + or -. 7.63 or -3.69. Month to Date: .T -.00
Since Oct 1, 2019, Fresno, 7.63 -3.69. 7.20, or +.84. Bakersfield, 7.20 +.84. Month to Date: .T -.01
Water year season is from October 1st through September.
Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28: Orange Cove, Parlier, Arvin, Shafter, Stratford, Delano, Lindcove, Porterville
Hours at 45 or below 45.
Sunrise: 6:17, Sunset: 7:49 pm. Hours of Daylight: 13:35
Yesterday’s Weather:
MCE : Merced 153 : DH1700 / 98 / 64 / 0.00 /
MAE : Madera 253 : DH1700 / 94 / 64 / 0.00 /
FAT : Fresno Airport 333 : DH1600 / 88 / 73 / 0.00 /
HJO : Hanford Airport 242 : DH1700 / 97 / 67 / 0.00 /
NLC : Lemoore Naval AS 234 : DH1700 / 96 / 68 / 0.00 /
BFL : Bakersfield Airport 496 : DH1700 / 101 / 77 / T /
VIS : Visalia Airport 292 : DH1700 / 99 / 67 / 0.00 /
ATEC1 : Avenal 787 : DHM / 84 / 75 / 0.00 /
PTV : Porterville Airport 442 : DH1700 / 102 / 69 / T /
TFTC1 : Taft 759 : DHM / M / M / M /
LOSC1 : Los Banos 120 : DH1600 / 95 / 68 / 0.00 /
Rainfall: 24hr W.Y. % Last Y. % Ave. Year ave.
STOCKTON 0.00 8.35 61 18.37 134 13.76 14.06
MODESTO 0.00 6.94 54 13.35 104 12.84 13.11
MERCED 0.00 9.54 78 13.27 109 12.20 12.50
MADERA 0.00 6.02 51 11.42 97 11.75 12.02
FRESNO T 7.63 67 11.85 105 11.32 11.50
HANFORD 0.00 6.62 67 9.50 96 9.91 10.10
BAKERSFIELD T 7.20 113 7.80 123 6.36 6.47
BISHOP 0.00 2.25 46 8.47 173 4.90 5.18
SALINAS T 9.18 73 13.80 109 12.65 12.83
PASO ROBLES 0.08 11.45 92 14.88 119 12.48 12.78
SANTA MARIA T 10.61 77 15.68 114 13.79 13.95
Next report: August 14/morning