October 28, 2021
There is a sizable area of low clouds covering much of Kings, Fresno, and Madera Counties. As of 6:00am, Fresno was reporting a broken layer of clouds based at 2,400 feet and an overcast layer at 3,500 feet. Madera reported overcast skies at 2,500 feet while the Lemoore Naval Air Station reported a broken layer at 2,400 feet. These clouds will burn off by late morning or early afternoon while the remainder of the valley will be hazy but mostly clear.
Upper level high pressure off the southern California coast continues to strengthen and expand northward along the coast. Sandberg at an elevation of 4,100 feet has already warmed to 60 degrees, a good indicator of a warm air inversion building above the valley floor.
Most locations on the valley floor are running 1 to 3 degrees warmer than yesterday at this time. Readings will be well into the 70s with the warmest spots approaching 80 on Friday.
Over the weekend, the northern portion of the high will begin to buckle, allowing a couple of weak systems to move through the northern part of the state, spreading variable clouds overhead during the weekend. However, I see no rain to interfere with Halloween festivities.
The pattern for next week also appears dry, but my confidence level is considerably lower. Some kind of storm will approach the California coast late Wednesday and Thursday. Most models indicate this system will split, which typically sends precipitation either north or south of us. The minority group of models has this system moving through the valley unabated Thursday of next week with a chance of rain.
Forecast: Patchy fog and areas of low clouds this morning with hazy sunshine this afternoon. Areas of fog and low clouds reforming tonight, otherwise mostly clear. Variable cloudiness at times Saturday through Thursday with patchy night and morning fog.
Short Term:
| Madera 74/47/76/48/71 | Reedley 75/45/77/48/73 | Dinuba 73/45/75/49/72 |
| Porterville 77/48/76/50/73 | Lindsay 75/45/74/49/72 | Delano 77/51/78/51/73 |
| Bakersfield 77/57/80/58/74 | Taft 75/60/78/59/73 | Arvin 78/54/80/51/74 |
| Lamont 79/52/81/55/74 | Pixley 77/46/74/50/72 | Tulare 73/45/75/49/72 |
| Woodlake 74/45/76/48/72 | Hanford 75/48/76/50/72 | Orosi 73/44/75/47/72 |
Seven Day Forecast:
| Sunday
Partly cloudy 48/70 |
Monday
Partly cloudy 50/68 |
Tuesday
Partly cloudy 47/71 |
Wednesday
Partly cloudy 49/71 |
Thursday
Partly cloudy 44/72 |
Two Week Outlook: November 4 through November 10: This model is now indicating there’s roughly a 70 percent chance of precipitation for all of central California. These storms will originate over milder sections of the Pacific Ocean with above average temperatures and relatively high snow levels.
Winds Discussion: Winds during the late morning and afternoon hours will be generally at or less than 10 MPH through Saturday. Winds during the night and morning hours will be generally at or less than 7 MPH with periods of near calm conditions.
Rain: In the short term, or through the middle of next week, dry conditions will prevail. Over the past few days, medium range models have been leaning towards a breakdown of the high along the coast, allowing rain to return perhaps about weekend after next.
Frost: All locations will be above freezing tonight and each night for the foreseeable future.
Actual Humidity range Yesterday: Delano, 100%/47% Porterville, 100`%54% Dew points Low to mid 50s. Bakersfield: Upper 40s to the lower 50s..
Percentage of Sunshine Today/Tomorrow: Visalia: Today: 50%, tomorrow 70%. Bakersfield: Today: 70%/80.
ET Rates Over the Past Seven Days:. Stratford .67, Parlier .56, Arvin .72, Orange Cove .56, Porterville .54, Delano .62. Courtesy University of California *=estimate, NA=not available.
Seven Day Soil Temperatures: Stratford 64, Parlier 63, Arvin, NA, Orange Cove 67, Porterville 65, Delano 58. *=data missing.
Record Temperatures: 89/33. Average Temperatures: 73/48
Heating Degree Days This Season. 100+42. Varies widely from location to location. courtesy of the NWS
Average Temperature for this month So Far: 67.2 which is 1.3 below average. courtesy of the NWS
Precipitation: Seasonal total for Fresno, .1.27 or +.83. Monthly .1.27.
Precipitation for Bakersfield, Season, .94 or +73. Month to date .94
Average Temperature this month: 62.5, -3.1. Taken NWS Hanford.
Water year season is from October 1st through September 30.
Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28: Orange Cove, , Parlier, , Arvin, , Belridge, ,Shafter, , Stratford, , Delano, , Porterville,
Sunrise/Sunset/HOD: 7:20/6:05/10:47
NA=missing
Yesterday’s Weather:
MCE : Merced AP 153 : 68 / 49 / 0.00 /
MAE : Madera AP 253 : 67 / 48 / 0.00 /
FAT : Fresno AP 333 : 67 / 50 / 0.00 /
HJO : Hanford AP 242 : 67 / 46 / 0.00 /
NLC : Lemoore NAS 234 : 68 / 44 / 0.00 /
BFL : Bakersfield AP 496 : 64 / 51 / 0.00 /
VIS : Visalia AP 292 : 64 / 46 / 0.00 /
PTV : Porterville AP 442 : 65 / 48 / 0.00 /
IYK : Inyokern AP 2455 : 69 / 41 / 0.00 /
Rainfall: 24 season % L.Y. % Ave. Annual total ave
STOCKTON 0.00 3.86 702 0.00 0 0.55 13.45
MODESTO 0.00 2.80 636 0.00 0 0.44 12.27
MERCED 0.00 1.73 339 M M 0.51 11.80
MADERA 0.00 0.57 168 M M 0.34 10.79
FRESNO 0.00 1.27 289 M M 0.44 10.99
HANFORD 0.00 1.10 289 M M 0.38 8.13
BAKERSFIELD 0.00 0.94 448 M M 0.21 6.36
BISHOP 0.00 0.65 210 0.00 0 0.31 4.84
SALINAS 0.00 1.62 338 M M 0.48 12.58
PASO ROBLES 0.00 1.57 349 0.00 0 0.45 12.15
SANTA MARIA 0.00 1.29 307 0.00 0 0.42 13.32
Next report: October 29