If you recall, December of last year saw precipitation at least twice the amount of average, and in some cases was more than twice. We all thought we were off to a stellar water year then came January with no rain. Now it appears the first half of February will also be dry. Welcome to California!
Currently, we have strong upper level high pressure anchored roughly 600 miles to the west of the Golden Gate. We also have an upper low roughly 450 miles to the southwest of San Diego. The strong high off shore covers the eastern pacific and the far western portion of the US, putting us in a north/northwest flow aloft. At the surface, pressure remains higher over the interior than off shore. The current altimeter reading at Boise, Idaho is 30.50 inches of mercury while at LAX, the reading is currently 30.21.
Over the next several days the high will build inland for a warming trend. By the middle of next week, the center of circulation of the high will be off the coast of the Pacific Northwest, creating a northeasterly flow. Downslope heating will occur, driving readings on the valley floor into the low to mid 70s, especially over the Kern County area.
Forecast: Mostly clear skies through Tuesday. Mostly clear skies will continue Tuesday night through Saturday.
Short Term:
Madera 64/34/67/37/71 | Reedley 65/34/67/35/71 | Dinuba 64/32/66/34/69 |
Porterville 66/33/66/34/70 | Lindsay 66/31/69/34/71 | Delano 66/35/69/35/71 |
Bakersfield 64/44/68/42/72 | Taft 65/45/68/48/70 | Arvin 66/36/70/37/72 |
Lamont 65/37/70/38/72 | Pixley 64/35/67/37/71 | Tulare 63/31/66/33/70 |
Woodlake 64/33/66/34/69 | Hanford 64/34/67/35/69 | Orosi 64/32/66/35/69 |
Seven Forecast
Tuesday
Mostly clear 35/71 |
Wednesday
Mostly clear 35/72 |
Thursday
Mostly clear 36/72 |
Friday
Mostly clear 36/73 |
Saturday
Mostly clear 37/73 |
Two Week Outlook: February 11 through February 17: this time around, this model is reverting back to the same old thing. A large ridge of upper level high pressure will cover the eastern Pacific and the western one-third of the US, meaning the chance of rain will be very low with above average temperatures.
February: The guidance on this model does not show any particular pattern that would favor temperatures or precipitation. Basically, what it’s saying is there’s equal chances of above or below average rain as well as above or below average temperatures. Flip a coin.
February, March, April: There are no dominant trends on this model favoring above or below average precipitation. Temperatures during this period should be fairly close to seasonal values.
Wind Discussion: Winds will be generally at or less than 7 MPH through Tuesday with periods of near calm conditions.
Rain: Expect dry conditions for the next 7 to 10 days.
Frost: Daytime highs will warm to the point where they will begin to drag up overnight lows as well. From this point on, only the coldest locations will reach the 32 mark or below. In fact, models for next week indicate highs will reach into the low to mid 70s, dragging up overnight lows into the mid to upper 30s despite the low dew point. From Monday on, very little change will occur night to night with low spots dipping into the lower 30s and most locations coming in between 33 and 38. There is still nothing on longer range projections that would suggest a significant change longer term.
Lows Tonight:
Terra Bella
Af |
Porterville
Af |
Ivanhoe
31 |
Woodlake
Af |
Strathmore
Af |
McFarland
31 |
Ducor
Af |
Tea Pot Dome
Af |
Lindsay
30 |
Exeter
32 |
Famoso
Af |
Madera
Af |
Belridge
31 |
Delano
Af |
North Bakersfield
Af |
Orosi
32 |
Orange Cove
32 |
Lindcove
31 |
Lindcove Hillside
Af |
Sanger River Bottom
29 |
Root Creek
30 |
Venice Hill
32 |
Rosedale
Af |
Jasmine
Af |
Arvin
Af |
Lamong
Af |
Plainview
32 |
Mettler
33 |
Edison
Af |
Maricopa
Af |
Holland Creek
Af |
Tivy Valley
Af |
Kite Road South
Af |
Kite Road North
Af |
AF=Above Freezing
Actual Humidity Range Yesterday: Delano, 88%/24% Porterville, 100%/37%. Midafternoon dew points: Upper 20s the lower 30s.. Kern: Mid to upper 20s.
Percentage of Sunshine Today/Tomorrow: Visalia: Today: 100%, tomorrow 100%. Bakersfield: Today: 100%/. Tomorrow, 100%.
ET Rates Over the Past Seven Days: Stratford .55, Parlier .50, Arvin 55, Orange Cove .45, Porterville .47, Delano .48. Courtesy University of California *=estimate, NA=not available.
Seven Day Soil Temperatures: Stratford, 51, Parlier 49, Arvin, 50, Orange Cove 48, Porterville 48, Delano na. *=data missing.
Average Temperatures: 59/39. Record Temperatures: 76/24
Heating Degree Days This Season. 1552 -106, Varies widely from location to location. courtesy of the NWS
courtesy of the NWS
Precipitation: Seasonal total for Fresno, 5.21 or -.27. Monthly .00 -.07
Precipitation for Bakersfield, Season, 3.56 or +.40. Month to date .00 -.16
Average Temperature this month: 45.4, -3.4 Taken NWS Hanford.
Water year season is from October 1st through September 30.
Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28: Orange Cove, 760, Parlier, 879, Arvin, 712, Belridge, 812, Shafter, 787 Stratford, 892, Delano, 870, Porterville, 893. courtesy UC Davis
Sunrise. 6:57, Sunset, 5:29, hours of daylight, 10:31
Yesterday’s Weather:
MCE : Merced AP 153 : 65 / 35 / 0.00 /
MAE : Madera AP 253 : 67 / 33 / 0.00 /
FAT : Fresno AP 333 : 68 / 39 / 0.00 /
HJO : Hanford AP 242 : 66 / 33 / 0.00 /
NLC : Lemoore NAS 234 : 69 / M / M /
BFL : Bakersfield AP 496 : M / M / 0.00 /
VIS : Visalia AP 292 : 66 / 36 / 0.00 /
PTV : Porterville AP 442 : 67 / 34 / 0.00 /
CLIMATE STATION TOTAL 2022 PON 2021 PON NORMAL NORMAL
STOCKTON 0.00 8.21 109 6.43 85 7.53 13.45
MODESTO 0.00 8.15 121 5.90 88 6.72 12.27
MERCED 0.00 5.85 94 5.62 90 6.25 11.80
MADERA 0.00 M M 1.05 19 5.53 10.79
FRESNO 0.00 5.21 92 4.82 85 5.65 10.99
HANFORD 0.00 4.61 110 3.03 72 4.18 8.13
BAKERSFIELD 0.00 3.56 110 1.72 53 3.24 6.36
BISHOP 0.00 4.50 174 1.30 50 2.58 4.84
SALINAS 0.00 6.11 88 4.47 64 6.96 12.58
PASO ROBLES 0.00 7.34 113 5.93 91 6.49 12.15
SANTA MARIA 0.00 6.26 92 5.90 87 6.82 13.32
Next report: February 5 PM