We will be out of the office this afternoon for a medical appointment. Reports will resume tomorrow morning. Thanks for your understanding.
February 17, 2022
Under clear skies overnight, temperatures dropped into the low to mid 30s. Thirty was the lowest temperature I could find in the ag locations. Daytime highs today will warm considerably over yesterday as upper level high pressure continues to build in from the west. The freezing level this morning over Oakland jumped up to 11,900 feet. The high will continue to dominate our pattern through Saturday night then will break down beginning late Sunday as a large, cold low moves southward into the western US. Since the origins of this storm are over the cold, northeast Pacific, temperatures will tumble beginning Tuesday with highs only in the mid to upper 50s by the middle of next week. This storm will not be carrying much water, however light scattered showers are certainly possible Monday through Tuesday with the likelihood of snow showers up and down the Sierra Nevada with fairly low snow levels. Another ridge of high pressure will build in from the west Wednesday through Thursday of next week for what appears to be several days of dry weather. Some models this morning are suggesting a pattern change at the end of the month which could bring rain back to central California.
Forecast: Clear skies through Saturday night. Mostly clear to occasionally partly cloudy Sunday. Increasing cloudiness Sunday night leading to a chance of light showers Monday through Tuesday. A slight chance of showers Tuesday night. Mostly to partly cloudy Tuesday night and Wednesday morning. Mostly clear Wednesday afternoon through Thursday.
Short Term:
| Madera 69/34/70/35/71 | Reedley 70/32/70/34/71 | Dinuba 69/31/70/33/70 |
| Porterville 70/33/71/34/72 | Lindsay 70/31/71/33/71 | Delano 69/34/71/35/71 |
| Bakersfield 70/41/71/43/70 | Taft 67/47/67/51/67 | Arvin 71/35/71/37/70 |
| Lamont 70/34/71/36/70 | Pixley 69/32/70/34/71 | Tulare 68/31/69/33/70 |
| Woodlake 69/32/70/34/70 | Hanford 69/34/70/35/70 | Orosi 69/31/70/33/71 |
Seven Forecast
| Sunday
Mostly clear 36/71 |
Monday
Chance of showers 40/70 |
Tuesday
Chance of showers 37/62 |
Wednesday
Mostly clear 32/58 |
Thursday
Mostly clear 31/57 |
Two Week Outlook: February 22 through February 29 This model moves temperatures to near seasonal values, especially during the second half of the period with high pressure along the Pacific coast. Precipitation will remain unlikely.
February: The guidance on this model does not show any particular pattern that would favor temperatures or precipitation. Basically, what it’s saying is there’s equal chances of above or below average rain as well as above or below average temperatures. Flip a coin.
February, March, April: There are no dominant trends on this model favoring above or below average precipitation. Temperatures during this period should be fairly close to seasonal values.
Wind Discussion: Winds will be generally at or less than 8 MPH through Sunday with periods of near calm conditions,, mainly during the night and morning hours.
We will be out of the office this afternoon for a medical appointment. Reports will resume tomorrow morning. Thanks for your understanding.
Rain: Dry weather will continue through at least Sunday. Light scattered showers are possible late Sunday night with a higher risk of light showers Monday through Tuesday. Any amounts appear to be less than .25. dry weather will return by Wednesday, lasting for several days thereafter. There are models this mooring hinting at a pattern change close to the end of the month which could bring more substantial precipitation. However, this is definitely not written in stone.
Frost: Ivanhoe, Lindsay, and McFarland had each dropped to 30 degrees as of 6:00am. This was the coldest I could find. Low to mid 30s were widespread, as expected. Daytime highs will begin to warm over the next couple of days to the t70 degree mark. This will slowly drag overnight lows up. Lows tonight should be roughly 1 to 2 degrees warmer than this morning, which means most locations will still be in the low to mid 30s. further modification will take place over the weekend when most locations will be above freezing. The next challenge will begin the middle of next week. The air mass associated with a storm moving out of the northeast Pacific is quite cold. On paper, it appears low temperatures Wednesday through Friday of next week will again be in the low to mid 30s. However, we could see a spattering of upper 20s as ti appears the air mass will be slightly colder than the current one. the pattern I mentioned yesterday that would bring in even colder weather does not show up on models this morning. this gives me a great sigh of relief.
Lows Tonight:
| Terra Bella
Af |
Porterville
32 |
Ivanhoe
31 |
Woodlake
Af |
| Strathmore
Af |
McFarland
31 |
Ducor
Af |
Tea Pot Dome
Af |
| Lindsay
31 |
Exeter
32 |
Famoso
Af |
Madera
Af |
| Belridge
31 |
Delano
Af |
North bakersfield
Af |
Orosi
32 |
| Orange Cove
32 |
Lindcove
31 |
Lindcove Hillside
Af |
Sanger River Bottom
28 |
| Root Creek
32 |
Venice Hill
Af |
Rosedale
Af |
Jasmine
Af |
| Arvin
Af |
Lamont
Af |
Plainview
32 |
Mettler
Af |
| Edison
Af |
Maricopa
Af |
Holland Creek
af |
Tivy Valley
Af |
| Kite Road South
Af |
Kite Road North
Af |
AF=Above Freezing
Actual Humidity Range Yesterday: Delano, 99%/30% Porterville, 86%/32%. Midafternoon dew points: Low to mid 30s. Kern: Low to mid 30s.
Percentage of Sunshine Today/Tomorrow: Visalia: Today: 60%, tomorrow 100%. Bakersfield: Today: 40%/. Tomorrow, 100%.
ET Rates Over the Past Seven Days: Stratford .77, Parlier .74, Arvin .82, Orange Cove .71, Porterville .73, Delano .73. Courtesy University of California *=estimate, NA=not available.
Seven Day Soil Temperatures: Stratford, 52, Parlier 53, Arvin, 54, Orange Cove 52, Porterville 54, Delano 49. *=data missing.
Average Temperatures: 62/41. Record Temperatures: 84/29
Heating Degree Days This Season. 1686 -151, Varies widely from location to location. courtesy of the NWS
courtesy of the NWS
Precipitation: Seasonal total for Fresno, 5.21 or -1.24. Monthly .00 -1.07
Precipitation for Bakersfield, Season, 3.56 or -.17. Monthly, .00 -.65
Average Temperature this month: 51.5 -+1.8 Taken NWS Hanford.
Water year season is from October 1st through September 30.
Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28: Orange Cove, 851, Parlier, 990, Arvin, 825, Belridge, 889, Shafter, 844 Stratford, 989, Delano, 976, Porterville, 1003. courtesy UC Davis
Sunrise. 6:43, Sunset, 5:43, hours of daylight, 11:00
Yesterday’s weather
MCE : Merced AP 153 : 64 / 36 / 0.00 /
MAE : Madera AP 253 : 64 / 36 / 0.00 /
FAT : Fresno AP 333 : 63 / 43 / 0.00 /
HJO : Hanford AP 242 : 64 / 36 / 0.00 /
NLC : Lemoore NAS 234 : 66 / 37 / 0.00 /
BFL : Bakersfield AP 496 : 63 / 39 / 0.00 /
VIS : Visalia AP 292 : 63 / 37 / 0.00 /
PTV : Porterville AP 442 : 62 / 39 / 0.00 /
IYK : Inyokern AP 2455 : 68 / 46 / 0.00 /
MHV : Mojave AP 2785 : 59 / 41 / 0.00 /
Rainfall
STOCKTON 0.00 8.21 95 6.86 80 8.61 13.45
MODESTO 0.00 8.15 106 6.37 83 7.68 12.27
MERCED 0.00 5.85 82 5.91 83 7.16 11.80
MADERA 0.00 M M 1.19 19 6.35 10.79
FRESNO 0.00 5.21 81 5.11 79 6.45 10.99
HANFORD 0.00 4.61 96 3.05 64 4.79 8.13
BAKERSFIELD 0.00 3.56 95 1.81 49 3.73 6.36
BISHOP 0.00 4.50 153 1.61 55 2.95 4.84
SALINAS 0.00 6.11 76 4.68 59 7.99 12.58
PASO ROBLES 0.00 7.34 97 5.96 79 7.53 12.15
SANTA MARIA 0.00 6.26 78 6.08 76 8.05 13.32
Next report: February 18