Over the next 48 hours, we will be under a very amplified pattern. by that, I mean a sharp ridge of upper level high pressure will be over the western states with a deep low over the Great Lakes region. The center of circulation of the high is just of the southern California coast. With the high close by, a warm bubble of subsiding air will drive temperatures into record territory both today and Friday. Even though it will be hot for this early in the season, humidity levels will be low, running generally in the teens during the hottest part of the afternoon. This is a very temporary pattern. the high will break down over the Pacific Northwest Friday, allowing a trough of low pressure to move in to our north. This will deepen the marine layer along the coast, allowing it to surge inland Friday night with noticeably cooler weather Saturday. By Sunday, a low will be rapidly developing just off the British Columbia coast.. the low will slide southward into the Pacific Northwest with the bottom side of the low moving into northern and central California. The combination of much cooler air aloft and marine air will lower temperatures to below average Monday through Wednesday. The air aloft will also be quite unsettled, resulting in the likelihood of showers over the Sierra Nevada and a chance over the valley floor late Monday through Tuesday. A flat zone of high pressure will follow Wednesday. However, models show a second low moving into northern and central California around Friday of next week. so, we will go from early summer back into spring mode next week.
Forecast: Mostly clear skies through Saturday. Partly cloudy, breezy, and cooler Sunday and Sunday night. Variable cloudiness Monday through Wednesday morning with a chance of showers late Monday through Tuesday. Partly cloudy Wednesday through Thursday.
Short Term:
| Madera 93/54/94/52/81 | Reedley 95/55/95/54/83 | Dinuba 93/53/94/52/94 |
| Porterville 95/54/95/55/84 | Lindsay 94/53/95/54/83 | Delano 95/57/95/55/83 |
| Bakersfield 96/63/95/61/82 | Taft 92/69/91/64/80 | Arvin 96/58/96/57/84 |
| Lamont 95/61/95/60/84 | Pixley 94/55/94/53/83 | Tulare 93/53/94/52/82 |
| Woodlake 93/54/94/52/82 | Hanford 95/56/95/55/83 | Orosi 93/55/93/52/83 |
Seven Day Forecast
| Sunday
Partly cloudy 46/82 |
Monday
PM showers 43/74 |
Tuesday
Chance of showers 39/70 |
Wednesday
Partly cloudy 37/65 |
Thursday
Partly cloudy 39/69 |
Two Week Outlook: April 13 through April 19: This model indicates temperatures will rise to at least marginally above average during this period. It also indicates that there will be a semi blocking ridge pattern in place, meaning the chance of precipitation is very low.
April: April is a transition month as we move from springtime weather to early summer weather at the end of the month. This model indicates above average temperatures over the southern half of the Golden State with near average temperatures over northern and central California. Precipitation will range below average.
April, May, June: This model shows above average temperatures over the Desert Southwest, stretching westward to California. With high pressure generally in control, expect below average precipitation…which doesn’t mean much now that we’re headed into the dry season.
Wind Discussion: Winds through Friday during the afternoons and evenings will be mainly out of the northwest at 5 to 12 mph with light winds overnight. Winds Friday evening, as marine air surges inland, will increase out of the west to northwest at 10 to 20 mph. gusts to 30 mph will be possible,, mainly along the Interstate 5 corridor. Winds Saturday through Sunday will be mainly out of the northwest at 8 to 15 mph with gusts to 25 mph possible.
Rain: Dry conditions will continue through Sunday night. Showers will spread down the Sierra Nevada Monday. models are not in consensus, but I do feel comfortable adding a chance of showers beginning Monday afternoon and continuing Tuesday. For now, it appears most locations will pick up no more than a quarter of an inch. Dry weather will return Tuesday night through Thursday of next week. medium range models show a low over northern California next Friday and Saturday for a renewed chance of showers.
Frost: A pool of relatively cold air will be overhead from Monday through Thursday of next week. mid to upper 30s will be possible Tuesday and Wednesday mornings. It is possible the coldest locations could dip into the lower 30s, however for now, there is no serious freeze threat on the horizon.
Actual Humidity Range Yesterday: Delano, 76%/27% Porterville, 88%/28%. Midafternoon dew points: Low to mid 30s. Kern: Mid to upper 20s.
Percentage of Sunshine Today/Tomorrow: Visalia: Today: 100%, tomorrow 100%. Bakersfield: Today: 100%/. Tomorrow, 100%.
ET Rates Over the Past Seven Days: Stratford 1.46, Parlier 1.19, Arvin 1.31, Orange Cove .1.19, Porterville .1.17, Delano 1.21. Courtesy University of California *=estimate, NA=not available.
Seven Day Soil Temperatures: Stratford, 58, Parlier 64, Arvin, 64, Orange Cove 61, Porterville 67, Delano 61. *=data missing.
Average Temperatures: 71/46. Record Temperatures: 92/36
Cooling Degree Days This Season. 24 +16. Varies widely from location to location. courtesy of the NWS
courtesy of the NWS
Precipitation: Seasonal total for Fresno, 5.99 or -3.52. Monthly .00 -.30
Precipitation for Bakersfield, Season, 5.01 or -.55. Monthly, -.15
Average Temperature this month: 63.6 +4.4 Taken NWS Hanford.
Water year season is from October 1st through September 30.
Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28: Orange Cove, 973, Parlier, 1129, Arvin, 953, Belridge, 1016, Shafter, 934 Stratford, 1116, Delano, 1113, Porterville, 1157. courtesy UC Davis
Sunrise. 6:36, Sunset, 7:27, hours of daylight, 12:51
MCE : Merced AP 153 : 76 / 42 / 0.00 /
MAE : Madera AP 253 : 76 / 40 / 0.00 /
FAT : Fresno AP 333 : 76 / 53 / 0.00 /
HJO : Hanford AP 242 : 77 / 45 / 0.00 /
NLC : Lemoore NAS 234 : 76 / 45 / 0.00 /
BFL : Bakersfield AP 496 : 76 / 55 / 0.00 /
VIS : Visalia AP 292 : 77 / 48 / 0.00 /
PTV : Porterville AP 442 : 77 / 47 / 0.00 /
Rainfall: 24h Seas % LY % Ave 365
STOCKTON 0.00 9.04 76 7.84 66 11.90 13.45
MODESTO 0.00 8.76 82 7.12 67 10.68 12.27
MERCED 0.00 6.69 65 6.97 68 10.26 11.80
MADERA 0.00 M M M M 9.48 10.79
FRESNO 0.00 5.99 63 6.44 68 9.51 10.99
HANFORD 0.00 5.80 81 4.13 58 7.12 8.13
BAKERSFIELD 0.00 5.01 90 2.58 46 5.58 6.36
BISHOP 0.00 4.75 120 1.62 41 3.97 4.84
SALINAS 0.00 6.87 60 5.70 50 11.38 12.58
PASO ROBLES 0.00 8.48 75 6.73 60 11.27 12.15
SANTA MARIA 0.00 7.40 61 6.86 56 12.17 13.32
Next report: April 8
At John Hibler Weather Forecasting, it is our goal to provide the most accurate forecasts available. Weather forecasting, unlike any other business, invites errors. Weather, by nature, is chaotic. It is our goal to be as accurate as humanly possible.