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Forecast

July 1, 2002/report

July 1, 2022

Skies are clear over California this morning with the exception of remnants of a former tropical storm off the central coast. Occasional batches of clouds will drift across the valley from the southwest today. the overall pattern is slowly changing. Marine air is surging through the Delta this morning. Winds at Travis AFB are out of the southwest at 24 mph, gusting to 30. Further south at Pacheco Pass, winds are out of the west at 17 mph, meaning the valley’s natural air conditioning system is now in operation. A low pressure system west of the Washington coast is developing a trough southward into northern California. This will continue to deepen the marine layer, allowing it to surge inland and bringing temperatures down to comfortable levels for the Fourth of July weekend. Temperatures may not even reach 90 degrees Sunday through Tuesday as the valley pools with modified marine air and cooler air becomes apparent aloft. The upper winds will continue to be out of the southwest, meaning there will be no chance of precipitation for the foreseeable future. But after all, it’s July. Wednesday will be a transition day as upper level high pressure over the Desert Southwest builds northward and westward. Pressures will rise aloft beginning Wednesday and will continue through next weekend. Triple digits may return by next weekend.

 

Forecast: Outside of occasional cloudiness today, it will be mostly clear through the Fourth of July weekend. Mostly clear Monday night through Friday.

 

Short Term:        

Madera 96/56/94/54/88 Reedley 97/57/94/55/88 Dinuba 96/56/94/55/87
Porterville 98/55/95/56/99 Lindsay 96/55/93/54/89 Delano 98/57/94/55/89
Bakersfield 97/70/94/64/89 Taft 96/70/94/62/88 Arvin 99/60/94/58/89
Lamont 98/57/94/56/89 Pixley 97/57/94/56/89 Tulare 96/55/93/53/88
Woodlake 97/57/94/54/89 Hanford 97/58/94/56/89 Orosi 96/55/94/54/88

 

Seven Day Forecast

Monday

Mostly clear

54/88

Tuesday

Mostly clear

56/89

Wednesday

Mostly clear

59/92

Thursday

Mostly clear

60/94

Friday

Mostly clear

63/97

 

Two Week Outlook:  July 7 through July 13  A broad expanse of high pressure centered over the Desert Southwest will move back overhead during this period for above average temperatures. Monsoon moisture may trigger afternoon and evening thunderstorms over the Sierra Nevada with occasional clouds over the valley floor.

 

June:  This model shows a high center over New Mexico and Texas extending into California for marginally above average temperatures for the month with the usual dry conditions prevailing.

 

June, July, August: This model is hinting at a possible active monsoon season this year once we get into July and August. It’s possible we could see more than the usual amount of afternoon and evening thunderstorms over the Sierra Nevada but the valley will be typically dry with above average temperatures.

 

Wind Discussion: Winds will be generally out of the northwest at 8 to 15 mph through Monday. Gusts to near 25 mph are possible, mainly along the west side but locally elsewhere.

 

Rain:  Expect dry conditions for the next 7 to 10 days.

 

Frost:  All locations will be above freezing tonight and each night for the foreseeable future.

Actual Humidity Range Yesterday: Delano, 58%/11% Porterville, 62%/12%. Midafternoon dew points: Low to mid 40s.  Kern: Upper 30s to the lower 40s. Percentage of Sunshine Today/Tomorrow: Visalia: Today: 90%, tomorrow 100%.  Bakersfield: Today: 90%/. Tomorrow, 100%.

ET Rates Over the Past Seven Days: Stratford 2.46, Parlier 2.13  Arvin 2.39, Orange Cove 2.43, Porterville 2.18, Delano 2.03. Courtesy University of California *=estimate, NA=noavailable

Seven day average soil temperatures: Stratford 73, Parlier 79, Arvin 79, Orange Cove 82, Porterville 90, Delano 84.

Average Temperatures: 96/65.  Record Temperatures: 114/53

Cooling Degree Days This Season.  643 +103. Varies widely from location to location. courtesy of the NWS

courtesy of the NWS

Precipitation:  Seasonal total for Fresno,  6.29 or -4.62.  Monthly  .T -.24

Precipitation for Bakersfield,  Season, 5.41 or  -.90.  Monthly,  .01 -.04

Average Temperature this month: 78.5 +2.5 Taken NWS Hanford.

Water year season is from October 1st through September 30.

Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28: Orange Cove, Parlier,  Arvin, Belridge, 1016, Shafter,  Stratford, Delano, Porterville.  Courtesy UC Davis 

Sunrise. 5:44, Sunset, 8:22, hours of daylight, 14.38

Yesterday’s Weather:

MCE   : Merced AP        153 :  94 /  59 /  0.00 /

MAE   : Madera AP        253 :  96 /  57 /  0.00 /

FAT   : Fresno AP        333 :  99 /  66 /  0.00 /

HJO   : Hanford AP       242 : 100 /  65 /  0.00 /

NLC   : Lemoore NAS      234 : 100 /  59 /  0.00 /

BFL   : Bakersfield AP   496 : 101 /  68 /  0.00 /

VIS   : Visalia AP       292 :  97 /  59 /  0.00 /

PTV   : Porterville AP   442 :  99 /  60 /  0.00 /

IYK   : Inyokern AP     2455 : 101 /  74 /  0.00 /

MHV   : Mojave AP       2785 :  97 /  73 /  0.00 /

 

Rainfall:                                                   24h            Seas            %          LY              %             Ave             365

  1. STOCKTON 00    9.81    73    7.88    59    13.36    13.45
  2. MODESTO 00    8.99    74    7.12    58    12.20    12.27
  3. MERCED 00    7.44    63    7.00    60    11.75    11.80
  4. MADERA 00       M     M       M     M    10.75    10.79
  5. FRESNO 00    6.29    58    6.59    60    10.91    10.99
  6. HANFORD                     00    6.34    79    4.29    53     8.07     8.13
  7. BAKERSFIELD 00    5.41    86    2.77    44     6.31     6.36
  8. BISHOP 00    4.75   106    1.62    36     4.48     4.84
  9. SALINAS        00    7.31    59    5.75    46    12.49    12.58
  10. PASO ROBLES 00 8.70    73    6.74    56    12.00    12.15
  11. SANTA MARIA 00 7.79    59    6.87    52    13.21    13.32

Next report: July 2

At John Hibler Weather Forecasting, it is our goal to provide the most accurate forecasts available. Weather forecasting, unlike any other business, invites errors. Weather, by nature, is chaotic. It is our goal to be as accurate as humanly possible.