September 28, 2022
Only subtle changes will occur in the world of weather for the next week to ten days. Currently, there’s a large ridge of upper level high pressure blanketing much of the western US. The northern flank of the high will break down, allowing a weak weather system to move through the Pacific Northwest and northern most California. The only effect on central California will be to lower temperatures into the upper 80s and lower 90s Thursday and Friday. The marine layer is only 1,500 feet thick, so no big surge of marine air is anticipated. The air aloft is late summer-like with the temperature at 4,100 feet at a warm 72 degrees as of 5:00am. The balloon sounding over Oakland over night indicated a freezing level of 14,400 feet. A weaker version of high pressure will move in over the weekend and will remain in place for several days, ensuring temperatures will range 5 to 7 degrees above average as we move into October.
Forecast: Mostly clear skies through Saturday night. Mostly clear skies will continue Saturday night through Wednesday.
Short Term:
| Madera 95/57/89/55/91 | Reedley 95/56/91/55/90 | Dinuba 94/55/91/54/91 |
| Porterville 96/57/91/95/91 | Lindsay 95/55/91/54/91 | Delano 96/56/91/55/92 |
| Bakersfield 94/65/90/65/91 | Taft 95/66/90/67/90 | Arvin 96/63/91/61/92 |
| Lamont 95/63/92/61/92 | Pixley 95/56/90/56/91 | Tulare 94/55/90/54/91 |
| Woodlake 94/55/90/53/90 | Hanford 96/59/91/57/92 | Orosi 94/54/91/54/91 |
Seven Day Forecast
| Saturday
Mostly clear 55/91 |
Sunday
Mostly clear 54/92 |
Monday
Mostly clear 55/91 |
Tuesday
Mostly clear 56/92 |
Wednesday
Mostly clear 57/91 |
Two Week Outlook: October 4 through October 10: This model doesn’t really give guidance for either above or below average rainfall, therefore the chance of rain will remain low. Temperatures will remain marginally above average.
October: This model is really a flip of the coin as far as precipitation is concerned and shows no real bias for above or below average rainfall. It does indicate somewhat above average temperatures will continue.
October, November, December: This model definitely has a bias for above average temperatures for the next 90 days. It also points to above average rainfall for northern California with below average precipitation for southern California. With that in mind, that gives California near average precipitation.
Wind Discussion: Winds during the late morning through the early morning hours will be variable to no more than 12 mph. winds during the night and early morning hours will be generally at or less than 5 mph with periods of near calm conditions through Saturday.
Rain: Expect dry conditions for at least the next 7 to 10 days.
Frost: All locations will be above freezing tonight and each night for the foreseeable future.
Actual Humidity Range Yesterday: Delano, 75%/26% Porterville, 83%/26%. Midafternoon dew points: Low to mid 50s. Kern: Low to mid 50s
Percentage of Sunshine Today/Tomorrow: Visalia: Today: 100%, tomorrow 100%. Bakersfield: Today: 100%/. Tomorrow, 100%.
ET Rates Over the Past Seven Days: Stratford 1.39, Parlier 1.24, Arvin 1.44, Orange Cove .*, Porterville 1.24, Delano 1.26. Courtesy University of California *=estimate, NA=not available.
Seven Day Soil Temperatures: Stratford, 73, Parlier 76, Arvin, 77, Orange Cove 81, Porterville 82, Delano 79. *=data missing.
Average Temperatures: 87/58. Record Temperatures: 105/44
Cooling Degree Days This Season. 2249 +476. Varies widely from location to location. courtesy of the NWS
Precipitation: Seasonal total for Fresno, 6.40 or -4.56. Monthly .,06 -.03
Precipitation for Bakersfield, Season, 5.41 or -.94. Monthly, -.01 -.04
Average Temperature this month: 80.3 +5.0 Taken NWS Hanford.
Water year season is from October 1st through September 30.
Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28: Orange Cove, , Parlier, , Arvin, , Belridge, , Shafter, Stratford, , Delano, , Porterville,. courtesy UC Davis
Sunrise. 6:52, Sunset, 6:47, hours of daylight, 11:57
Yesterday’s Weather:
- MCE : Merced 153 : DH1700 / 97 / 63 / 0.00 /
- MAE : Madera 253 : DH1700 / 97 / 61 / 0.00 /
- FAT : Fresno Airport 333 : DH1700 / 99 / 69 / 0.00 /
- HJO : Hanford Airport 242 : DH1700 / 99 / 66 / 0.00 /
- NLC : Lemoore Naval AS 234 : DH1700 / 100 / 63 / 0.00 /
- BFL : Bakersfield Airport 496 : DH1700 / 98 / 64 / 0.00 /
- VIS : Visalia Airport 292 : DH1700 / 99 / 62 / 0.00 /
- PTV : Porterville Airport 442 : DH1700 / 99 / 65 / 0.00 /
- TFTC1 : Taft 759 : DH1600 / 96 / 94 / 0.00 /
- LOSC1 : Los Banos 120 : DH1600 / 96 / 63 / 0.00 /
- Rainfall: 24h Seas % LY % Ave ave 365
STOCKTON 0.00 9.87 73 7.89 59 13.43 13.45
MODESTO 0.00 9.08 74 7.15 58 12.25 12.27
MERCED 0.00 7.64 65 7.00 59 11.78 11.80
MADERA 0.00 M M 1.56 14 10.78 10.79
FRESNO 0.00 6.40 58 6.59 60 10.97 10.99
HANFORD 0.00 6.38 79 4.29 53 8.12 8.13
BAKERSFIELD 0.00 5.41 85 2.77 44 6.35 6.36
BISHOP 0.00 6.73 140 1.69 35 4.81 4.84
SALINAS 0.00 7.38 59 5.79 46 12.56 12.58
PASO ROBLES 0.00 9.08 75 6.74 56 12.13 12.15
SANTA MARIA 0.00 9.63 72 6.88 52 13.30 13.32
Next report: Thursday, September 29
At John Hibler Weather Forecasting, it is our goal to provide the most accurate forecasts available. Weather forecasting, unlike any other business, invites errors. Weather, by nature, is chaotic. It is our goal to be as accurate as humanly possible.