November 2, 2018
Summary: High pressure at the mid and upper levels of the atmosphere is centered just to our west this afternoon. The clockwise flow around this high has the winds aloft out of the north to almost northeast. The proximity of the high is driving temperatures warmer this afternoon as temperatures are generally 3 to 5 degrees warmer than 24 hours ago. A few locations are already in the lower 80s.
In the meantime, to our north a Pacific storm is moving through the Pacific Northwest and will dive into the interior west Saturday, weakening the high just a bit and beginning the process of moving this feature further off shore. This would replace the northerly flow aloft with a northwest flow aloft. The only evidence of systems over the interior west will be a few bands of high clouds from time to time. A similar occurrence will take place Monday as a weak system once again marginally weakens the high with temperatures falling back into the low to mid 70s, which is actually still a bit above average for the first week of November. By Wednesday, a zonal flow will be across the Pacific, meaning the main storm track will be running from west to east primarily into British Columbia and Washington state while a flat zone of high pressure develops across the eastern Pacific and into California and the Desert Southwest.
Like we explained this morning, the summary will be shorter than usual, simply because there’s little day to day change with dry conditions expected for the next seven to at least ten days or so. The new two week model out this afternoon continues the trend of dry weather and at least marginally above average temperatures.
One model continues to hold onto the idea of precipitation spreading into central California about the twelfth or thirteenth. For now, it’s the odd model out so we’ll continue with a dry forecast longer term.
Forecast: Outside of occasional high, thin clouds, it will be clear through Tuesday. Generally clear skies will continue Tuesday night through Friday.
Short Term:
| Madera 42/78/44/79 | Reedley 43/77/44/80 | Dinuba 42/76/42/78 | |
| Porterville 44/78/44/79 | Lindsay 42/77/43/80 | Delano 47/78/48/80 | |
| Bakersfield 50/78/51/81 | Arvin 47/79/48/82 | Taft 55/79/55/80 | |
| Lamont 48/78/49/80 | Pixley 43/78/44/80 | Tulare 42/78/43/78 | |
| Woodlake 44/78/45/79 | Hanford 42/78/44/80 | Orosi 43/78/44/79 | |
Winds: Winds will be at or less than 10 MPH with periods of near calm conditions through Monday. There will be a small chance of locally gusty winds along the Interstate 5 corridor Monday through Monday evening.
Rain: Expect dry conditions for at least the next week to ten days.
Frost Information: Short and medium range models all indicate patterns which would reflect above freezing conditions for at least the next week and more than likely for the next ten days.
Lows Tonight:
All locations will be above freezing tonight.
Next Report: Saturday morning/November 3