August 10, 2020
Summary: More triple digit temps are on the way. Slight cooling will occur Tuesday through Thursday due to a slight weakening of high pressure aloft. We will not have any assistance from the marine layer this week. There’s a minor influx of sea breeze moving into the Delta, however any cooling will only be felt from Stockton northward. There are two moisture sources we will have to monitor later this week. Models show some mid and high level moisture trying to move in from the monsoon into southern and central California late Wednesday through early Friday. We also have a tropical storm which is located roughly 500 miles to the south of Cabo San Lucas. Tropical storm Elida is forecast to become a hurricane over the next 24 hours. Currently, Elida is moving in a northwest direction at 15 MPH. as the storm moves further out to sea and weakens this week, it’s possible some spin off clouds could be caught up in the south/southwest flow aloft. No precipitation is expected for the valley, however we may see an uptick in afternoon and evening thunderstorms over the Sierra Nevada. Currently it’s hot out there but it will be even hotter Friday through Sunday as strong upper level high pressure parks over Arizona and southern California.
Forecast: Clear and hot through Wednesday. Mostly clear to partly cloudy Wednesday through Friday. Mostly clear and hot Friday through Monday.
Short Term:
Madera 101/64/99/64/99 | Reedley 101/65/100/65/99 | Dinuba 100/63/98/63/99 |
Porterville 102/65/100/64/100 | Lindsay 101/63/100/64/100 | Delano 102/67/100/67/99 |
Bakersfield 101/75/101/74/101 | Taft 100/75/99/75/100 | Arvin 103/68/103/68/102` |
Lamont 102/67/101/67/101 | Pixley 101/64/100/64/100 | Tulare 100/63/99/63/99 |
Woodlake 100/63/99/64/99 | Hanford 102/65/100//65/100 | Orosi 100/63/99/63/99 |
Seven Day Forecast:
Thursday
Partly cloudy 68/98 |
Friday
Mostly clear 68/102 |
Saturday
Mostly clear 68/103 |
Sunday
Mostly clear 68/104 |
Monday
Mostly clear 69/104 |
Two Week Outlook: August 17 through August 23: This model indicates upper level high pressure over the desert southwest will be the more dominant feature, resulting in at least marginally above average temperatures. The monsoon is still nowhere to be found, so dry dusty conditions will continue.
August: Typically, especially this time of year, long range outlooks by NOAA reflect the global warming madness. This model indicates above average temperatures and largely dry conditions.
August, September, October: Just like the 30 day outlook, this longer range outlook reflects above average temperatures everywhere, including California. This model does not reflect either above or below average precipitation, although as we head into September, we will have to keep a closer eye on the tropics.
Winds Discussion: Winds through Thursday will be mainly out of the northwest at 5 to 12 MPH afternoons and evenings and 3 to 6 MPH nights and early mornings with periods of near calm conditions.
Rain Discussion: Expect dry conditions for the next 7 to 10 days.
Afternoon Dew Points Today: Upper 50s to the lower 60s. Kern: Mid to upper 50s. Humidity values ranging from 25%/70% at Visalia. Bakersfield 20%/50%
Actual Humidity range August 9, 2020: Delano, 99%/30%, Porterville, 71%/27%
Percentage of Sunshine Today/Tomorrow: Visalia: Today: 100%, tomorrow 100%. Bakersfield: Today: 100% Tomorrow: 100%
ET Rates Over the Past Seven Days: Stratford 1.86, Parlier 1.86, Blackwell Corner 2.16, Arvin 2.15, Orange Cove 1.99, Porterville 1.82, Delano 1.74. Courtesy University of California *=estimate, NA=not available.
Seven Day Soil Temperatures: Stratford 77, Parlier 79, Blackwell NA, Arvin, 80, Orange Cove 85, Porterville 77, Delano 76
Record Temperatures: 110/53. Average Temperatures: 98/64
Cooling Degree Days this Season: 1298 +251
Courtesy of the NWS
Average temperature for August so far: 79.8 +0.6
Precipitation: Seasonal total for Fresno/average + or 7.63 or -3.69. Month to Date: .00 -.00
Since Oct 1, 2019, Bakersfield: 7.20, or +.84. Month to Date: .00 -.01
Water year season is from October 1st through September.
Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28: Orange Cove, Parlier, Arvin, Shafter, Stratford, Delano, Lindcove, Porterville
Hours at 45 or below 45.
Sunrise: 6:13, Sunset: 7:54 pm. Hours of Daylight: 13:42
Yesterday’s Weather:
MCE : Merced 153 : DH1700 / 100 / 66 / 0.00 /
MAE : Madera 253 : DH1700 / 101 / 64 / 0.00 /
FAT : Fresno Airport 333 : DH1700 / 102 / 72 / 0.00 /
HJO : Hanford Airport 242 : DH1700 / 103 / 65 / 0.00 /
NLC : Lemoore Naval AS 234 : DH1700 / 104 / 66 / 0.00 /
BFL : Bakersfield Airport 496 : DH1700 / 100 / 74 / 0.00 /
VIS : Visalia Airport 292 : DH1700 / 100 / 65 / 0.00 /
ATEC1 : Avenal 787 : DHM / 101 / 69 / 0.00 /
PTV : Porterville Airport 442 : DH1700 / 100 / 65 / 0.00 /
Rainfall: 24hr W.Y. % Last Y. % Ave. Year ave.
STOCKTON 0.00 8.35 61 18.37 134 13.76 14.06
MODESTO 0.00 6.94 54 13.35 104 12.83 13.11
MERCED 0.00 9.54 78 13.27 109 12.20 12.50
MADERA 0.00 6.02 51 11.42 97 11.75 12.02
FRESNO 0.00 7.63 67 11.85 105 11.32 11.50
HANFORD 0.00 6.62 67 9.50 96 9.91 10.10
BAKERSFIELD 0.00 7.20 113 7.80 123 6.36 6.47
BISHOP 0.00 2.25 46 8.47 173 4.89 5.18
SALINAS 0.00 9.18 73 13.80 109 12.64 12.83
PASO ROBLES 0.00 11.37 91 14.88 119 12.47 12.78
SANTA MARIA 0.00 10.61 77 15.68 114 13.79 13.95
Next report: August 11/morning