November 12, 2021
Fog season is in full swing now. Every location from Visalia to sacramento is reporting a visibility of ¼ mile or less. In Kern County and parts of Tulare County, visibility is down to a mile or two. A strong warm air inversion has the valley sealed up. At 6:00AM at Sandberg at 4,100 feet, the temperature was 60 degrees. Most locations on the valley floor were in the mid to upper 40s. Pressure is slightly higher over the interior west than they are off the southern California coast, which is a weak Santa Ana wind configuration. At the upper levels of the atmosphere, upper level high pressure is centered just off the southern California coast. The balloon sounding above Oakland this morning indicated winds from 18,000 feet to the surface were light, indicating very stable conditions. The high will strengthen as we move through the weekend, resulting in a warming trend beginning Friday. However, that will be highly dependent by how quickly fog and low clouds burn off in the afternoon hours.
Locations away from the low cloud deck will move into the lower 70s. those locations that remain overcast may only warm into the low to mid 50s. those locations with the best chance of clearing will be those nearest the foothills and over the valley portion of Kern County.
The high will begin to weaken and give way late Tuesday as a weak trough of low pressure moves through. This feature will not bring rain to central California, but it will lower temperatures to near average by the middle of the week. Models for late next week and beyond diverge quite a bit. Some show the formation of a cut off low well off shore with upper level high pressure remaining firm over the western US.
Forecast: Low overcast with dense morning fog through next Friday. Clearing in most areas during the afternoons into hazy sunshine.
Short Term: Afternoon highs will depend upon the burn off time of the fog and low clouds during the afternoons.
| Madera 64/43/68/45/74 | Reedley 66/44/68/44/71 | Dinuba 64/42/67/43/71 |
| Porterville 69/43/70/44/73 | Lindsay 67/43/70/44/71 | Delano 66/44/70/45/73 |
| Bakersfield 70/52/73/54/75 | Taft 68/55/73/56/76 | Arvin 70/48/74/51/77 |
| Lamont 70/48/78/49/76 | Pixley 69/45/70/46/73 | Tulare 64/45/68/44/71 |
| Woodlake 67/43/69/44/72 | Hanford 68/45/70/46/73 | Orosi 66/42/68/45/71 |
Seven Day Forecast:
| Monday
AM fog/PM sun 46/73 |
Tuesday
AM fog/PM sun 46/74 |
Wednesday
Partly cloudy 46/70 |
Thursday
Partly cloudy 44/67 |
Friday
AM fog/PM sun 42/67 |
Two Week Outlook: November 18 through November 24 Models show the storm track moving further north into the Pacific Northwest, meaning central California will only have a minimal chance of precipitation during this period. Temperatures will largely be governed by fog and low clouds, but will generally be above average.
November: This model indicates November has roughly a 60% chance of above average precipitation with above average temperatures being the dominant theme. If this occurs, it will have to be during the second half of the month as current models show dry conditions through mid November.
November, December, January: Well, at least this model doesn’t show the continuance of the blocking ridge of high pressure of recent winters. It indicates an equal chance of below or above average precipitation for central California. Temperatures will remain somewhat above seasonal average.
Wind Discussion: Winds tonight through Monday will be generally variable at no more than 10 MPH with periods of near calm conditions.
Rain: No chance of rain for the next 7 to 10 days.
Frost: Obviously, the frost season is getting off to a slow start this year. Currently, I see nothing suggesting a cold pattern on the horizon.
Actual Humidity range Yesterday: Delano, 100%/67% Porterville, 100%/66%. Dew points: Upper Low to mid 50s. Kern: Low to mid 50s.
Percentage of Sunshine Today/Tomorrow: Visalia: Today: 100%, tomorrow 80%. Bakersfield: Today: 100%/. Tomorrow, 90%.
ET Rates Over the Past Seven Days:. Stratford .54, Parlier .40, Arvin .55, Orange Cove .35, Porterville .38, Delano .44. Courtesy University of California *=estimate, NA=not available.
Seven Day Soil Temperatures: Stratford, 63, Parlier 61, Arvin, .47, Orange Cove 64, Porterville 62, Delano 57. *=data missing.
Average Temperatures: 66/43. Record Temperatures: 81/29
Heating Degree Days This Season. 174 -4. Varies widely from location to location. courtesy of the NWS
courtesy of the NWS
Precipitation: Seasonal total for Fresno, .1.57 or +.72. Monthly .30. +.01
Precipitation for Bakersfield, Season, .95 or +51. Month to date .01 -.15
Average Temperature this month: 59.3, +2.5. Taken NWS Hanford.
Water year season is from October 1st through September 30.
Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28: Orange Cove, 5 , Parlier, 8 , Arvin, 0, Belridge, 0 ,Shafter, 0 , Stratford, 14 , Delano, 3 , Porterville, 0
Sunrise/Sunset/HOD: 6:34/4:52/10:18
NA=missing
Yesterday’s Weather:
.BR HNX 1111 Z DH08/TAIRZX/DH12/TAIRZP/PPDRZZ/SFDRZZ/SDIRZZ
:
: Max Min 24-Hr Snow
: Id Name Elev Temp Temp Pcpn Depth
MCE : Merced AP 153 : 65 / 48 / 0.00 /
MAE : Madera AP 253 : 66 / 47 / 0.00 /
FAT : Fresno AP 333 : 63 / 50 / 0.00 /
HJO : Hanford AP 242 : 65 / 46 / 0.00 /
NLC : Lemoore NAS 234 : 69 / 43 / 0.00 /
BFL : Bakersfield AP 496 : 64 / 50 / 0.00 /
VIS : Visalia AP 292 : 65 / 46 / 0.00 /
PTV : Porterville AP 442 : 68 / 47 / 0.00 /
Rainfall: 24hr season % L.Y. % Ave. Annual total ave
STOCKTON 0.00 4.32 386 T 0 1.12 13.45
MODESTO 0.00 3.06 356 T 0 0.86 12.27
MERCED 0.00 1.99 199 0.48 48 1.00 11.80
MADERA 0.00 0.65 92 0.06 8 0.71 10.79
FRESNO 0.00 1.57 185 0.11 13 0.85 10.99
HANFORD 0.00 1.24 185 0.09 13 0.67 8.13
BAKERSFIELD 0.00 0.95 216 0.39 89 0.44 6.36
BISHOP 0.00 0.78 173 T 0 0.45 4.84
SALINAS 0.00 2.19 228 0.24 25 0.96 12.58
PASO ROBLES 0.00 1.58 190 0.26 31 0.83 12.15
SANTA MARIA 0.00 1.40 157 0.24 27 0.89 13.32
Next report: November 13