July 7, 2022
Central California remains sandwiched between a low center off the coast of British Columbia and a large upper high centered over Arkansas and Oklahoma which extends into the Desert Southwest. This is creating a dry, southwesterly flow aloft. The flow of marine air which has resulted in somewhat below average temperatures is slowing. This will allow temperatures to rise to near average values Friday and marginally above average over the weekend. The high over the middle of the nation will retrograde into the southwest over the weekend and will expand over California. As pressures rise aloft, temperatures will warm accordingly with triple digits possibly as early as Sunday, lasting through at least Thursday of next week and possibly longer. As the high centers over the Four Corners region early next week, the flow around the high will turn the winds aloft out of the southeast. We may see a limited amount of monsoon moisture move up the Sierra Nevada for a chance of isolated thunderstorms over the high Sierra by Tuesday. Mid and high level clouds will be visible over the valley floor. Finally, about a week from Saturday, a trough of low pressure will approach the west coast, turning the winds aloft once again out of the southwest. This will nudge any residual moisture from the monsoon to our southeast.
Forecast: Mostly clear and warmer through Saturday. Mostly clear and hot Saturday night through Thursday.
Short Term:
| Madera 93/59/97/60/98 | Reedley 94/58/98/61/99 | Dinuba 91/58/97/60/97 |
| Porterville 94/58/97/60/97 | Lindsay 92/57/97/60/96 | Delano 94/60/98/62/98 |
| Bakersfield 94/70/97/70/99 | Taft 93/68/96/71/97 | Arvin 94/61/98/63/99 |
| Lamont 94/60/98/62/99 | Pixley 93/60/97/61/96 | Tulare 92/57/96/60/97 |
| Woodlake 93/57/97/59/96 | Hanford 94/62/97/62/98 | Orosi 92/57/98/60/98 |
Seven Day Forecast
| Sunday
Mostly clear 63/101 |
Monday
Mostly clear 64/105 |
Tuesday
Mostly clear 66/106 |
Wednesday
Mostly clear 66/104 |
Thursday
Mostly clear 67/103 |
Two Week Outlook: July 14 through July 20 This model continues to indicate upper level high pressure will be over much of the western states with an active monsoon in the Desert Southwest. It’s possible some of this moisture may leak into southern and central California for a chance of isolated thunderstorms over the high Sierra and occasional cloud cover over the valley floor. Temperatures will remain somewhat above average with the usual dry conditions prevailing.
June: This model shows a high center over New Mexico and Texas extending into California for marginally above average temperatures for the month with the usual dry conditions prevailing.
June, July, August: This model is hinting at a possible active monsoon season this year once we get into July and August. It’s possible we could see more than the usual amount of afternoon and evening thunderstorms over the Sierra Nevada but the valley will be typically dry with above average temperatures.
Wind Discussion: Winds will be mainly out of the northwest afternoons and evenings at around 8 to 15 mph. Local gusts to near 25 mph can be expected, mainly along the west side. Winds will decrease Friday to around 5 to 12 mph with stronger afternoon gusts, continuing Sunday.
Rain: Expect dry conditions for the next 7 to 10 days.
Frost: All locations will be above freezing tonight and each night for the foreseeable future.
Actual Humidity Range Yesterday: Delano, 74%/40% Porterville, 86%/40%. Midafternoon dew points: Upper 50s to the lower 60s. Kern: Low to mid 60s. Percentage of Sunshine Today/Tomorrow: Visalia: Today: 100%, tomorrow 100%. Bakersfield: Today : 100%/. Tomorrow, 100%.
ET Rates Over the Past Seven Days: Stratford 2.14, Parlier 1.96 Arvin 2.16, Orange Cove 2.20, Porterville 1.95, Delano 1.899. Courtesy University of California *=estimate, NA=not available.
Seven day average soil temperatures: Stratford 73, Parlier 77, Arvin 79, Orange Cove 87, Porterville 87, Delano 83.
Average Temperatures: 97/66. Record Temperatures: 111/53
Cooling Degree Days This Season. 719 +90. Varies widely from location to location. courtesy of the NWS
courtesy of the NWS
Precipitation: Seasonal total for Fresno, 6.29 or -4.62. Monthly .00 -.01
Precipitation for Bakersfield, Season, 5.41 or -.90. Monthly, ..00
Average Temperature this month: 77.3 -2.7 Taken NWS Hanford.
Water year season is from October 1st through September 30.
Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28: Orange Cove, Parlier, Arvin, Belridge, 1016, Shafter, Stratford, Delano, Porterville. Courtesy UC Davis
Sunrise. 5:47, Sunset, 8:20, hours of daylight, 14.34
Yesterday’s Weather:
MCE : Merced 153 : DH1700 / 88 / 63 / 0.00 /
MAE : Madera 253 : DH1700 / 88 / 63 / 0.00 /
FAT : Fresno Airport 333 : DH1700 / 90 / 66 / 0.00 /
HJO : Hanford Airport 242 : DH1700 / 91 / 65 / 0.00 /
NLC : Lemoore Naval AS 234 : DH1700 / 91 / 64 / 0.00 /
BFL : Bakersfield Airport 496 : DH1700 / 90 / 68 / 0.00 /
VIS : Visalia Airport 292 : DH1700 / 89 / 65 / 0.00 /
PTV : Porterville Airport 442 : DH1700 / 90 / 63 / 0.00 /
LOSC1 : Los Banos 120 : DH1600 / M / 61 / 0.00 /
Rainfall: 24h Seas % LY % Ave 365
- STOCKTON 00 9.81 73 7.88 59 13.36 13.45
- MODESTO 00 8.99 74 7.12 58 12.20 12.27
- MERCED 00 7.44 63 7.00 60 11.75 11.80
- MADERA 00 M M M M 10.75 10.79
- FRESNO 00 6.29 58 6.59 60 10.91 10.99
- HANFORD 00 6.34 79 4.29 53 8.07 8.13
- BAKERSFIELD 00 5.41 86 2.77 44 6.31 6.36
- BISHOP 00 4.75 106 1.62 36 4.49 4.84
- SALINAS 00 7.31 59 5.75 46 12.49 12.58
- PASO ROBLES 00 8.70 73 6.74 56 12.00 12.15
- SANTA MARIA 00 7.79 59 6.87 52 13.21 13.32
Next report: July 8
At John Hibler Weather Forecasting, it is our goal to provide the most accurate forecasts available. Weather forecasting, unlike any other business, invites errors. Weather, by nature, is chaotic. It is our goal to be as accurate as humanly possible.