October 25, 2023
Summary Currently,, a low center is parked over northwest Oregon this morning while a flat zone of high pressure stretches over central and southern California. The low over Oregon will dive into the Great Basin Thursday. A trough of low pressure will develop behind this system from Hudson Bay, Canada southwestward clear into California. By Friday, a narrow ridge of high pressure aloft will build into the Gulf of Alaska with a northeast to southwest flow continuing into southern California. This will set the stage for a robust off shore flow over the weekend, allowing dry air to infiltrate the valley. Strong radiational cooling will set up, allowing temperatures to drop into the mid to upper 30s in many locations with a chance of lower 30s in those cold spots Saturday through Tuesday. Daytime temperatures will be near average today then fall below average Thursday through Sunday. Even so, temperatures will struggle to above average Sunday through Monday with mid to upper 70s returning Tuesday through Wednesday of next week. Medium range models for the first week in November indicate an active pattern for the Pacific Northwest and northern California with central and southern California remaining dry.
Forecast Other than occasional cloudiness, it will remain mostly clear through Thursday. Mostly clear to occasionally partly cloudy Thursday night through Saturday night. Mostly clear Sunday through Wednesday.
Temperatures:
| Madera 79/50/69/48/69 | Reedley 80/51/70/46/68 | Dinuba 78/50/69/48/69 |
| Porterville 80/50/70/45/68 | Lindsay 79/49/70/44/68 | Delano 80/50/70/46/69 |
| Bakersfield 81/54/71/48/70 | Taft 77/55/68/48/67 | Arvin 80/53/71/48/69 |
| Lamont 81/53/70/49/70 | Pixley 79/51/68/48/68 | Tulare 78/50/70/43/68 |
| Woodlake 77/50/69/44/68 | Hanford 79/51/70/44/69 | Orosi 78/49/69/43/68 |
Seven Day Forecast
| Saturday Partly cloudy 38/70 | Sunday Mostly clear 36/72 | Monday Mostly clear 35//76 | Tuesday Mostly clear 37/77 | Wednesday Mostly clear 40/78 |
Two Week Outlook: November 1 through November 7 This model shows periodic chances of rain for the northern 1/3 of California with a small chance of showers over central California, generally north of Fresno. temperatures will run somewhat above average.
October: This model indicates that October will be marginally warmer than average. It also points to above average precipitation from Texas t o southern California. Central California will have a better than even chance of above average precipitation.
October, November, December This model shows a marginal chance of above average temperatures over the next 90 days. There is no indication of above or below average precipitation through December. We will be dealing with a strong El Nino this winter. Whether or not that translates into abundant rainfall for central California remains to be seen.
Wind Discussion Winds will be generally at or less than 10 mph today. Winds tonight through Thursday will be mainly out of the northwest at 8 to 15 mph. gusts to near 25 mph will be possible, mainly along the west side but locally elsewhere. Winds Thursday night through Friday night will be mainly out of the northwest at 5 to 10 mph. winds Saturday will increase out of the northwest at 8 to 15 mph with stronger gusts.
Rain Discussion. Expect dry conditions for the next week to ten days.
Mid afternoon dew points: Low to mid 50s. Kern: Low to mid 50s.
ET for the past seven days: Stratford, .84, Parlier, .72, Arvin 87, Delano .78.
Soil temperatures: Stratford 68, Parlier *, Arvin 72, Delano 69 *=data missing.
Average Temperatures: 75/49, Record Temperatures: 91/36
Cooling Degree Days This Season. 2157 +292 Varies widely from location to location. courtesy of the NWS
Precipitation: Seasonal total for Fresno T, Monthly .T
Precipitation for Bakersfield: Season: .30, Monthly: .30
Average Temperature this Month 70.1 +4.0 taken at NWS Hanford.
Water year season is from October 1st through September 30.
Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28: Parlier, Arvin, Belridge, Shafter, Stratford, Delano, Porterville. Courtesy UC Davis
Sunrise, 7:17. Sunset, 6:09. hours of daylight, 10:54
NA=Not available
Yesterday’s Weather: H
MCE : Merced 153 : DH1700 / 79 / 52 / T /
MAE : Madera 253 : DH1700 / 80 / 56 / T /
FAT : Fresno Airport 333 : DH1700 / 78 / 56 / 0.00 /
HJO : Hanford Airport 242 : DH1700 / 79 / 51 / 0.00 /
NLC : Lemoore Naval AS 234 : DH1700 / 81 / 50 / 0.00 /
BFL : Bakersfield Airport 496 : DHM / 69 / 55 / 0.00 /
VIS : Visalia Airport 292 : DH1700 / 77 / 53 / M /
ATEC1 : Avenal 787 : DHM / M / M / M /
PTV : Porterville Airport 442 : DH1700 / 78 / 53 / T /
TFTC1 : Taft 759 : DHM / M / M / M /
Rainfall stats: seas % L.Y % ave. s.a.
STOCKTON 0.00 0.19 42 0.00 0 0.45 13.45
MODESTO 0.00 0.42 117 0.00 0 0.36 12.27
MERCED T 0.16 38 0.00 0 0.42 11.80
MADERA T 0.02 7 0.00 0 0.27 10.79
FRESNO 0.00 T 0 0.00 0 0.37 10.99
HANFORD 0.00 T 0 0.00 0 0.31 8.13
BAKERSFIELD 0.00 0.30 176 0.00 0 0.17 6.36
BISHOP 0.00 0.18 67 T 0 0.27 4.84
DEATH VALLEY NP 0.00 0.00 0 0.00 0 0.10 2.20
SALINAS 0.00 0.22 55 0.01 3 0.40 12.58
PASO ROBLES 0.00 0.00 0 0.00 0 0.37 12.15
SANTA MARIA 0.00 T 0 T 0 0.33 13.32
Next report: October 26
At John Hibler Weather Forecasting, it is our goal to provide the most accurate forecasts available. Weather forecasting, unlike any other business, invites errors. Weather, by nature, is chaotic. It is our goal to be as accurate as humanly possible.