Category: Forecast

March 5, 2022 The center of circulation of a cold upper level  low is just north of Lake Tahoe this morning. The pool of cold unstable air has caused the freezing level to rocket down to 2,600 feet. That will lower  the snow level to between 1,500 and 2,000 feet. The low will track southeastward,…

March 4, 2022 Yesterday, the blended model began putting out significant amounts of precipitation for last night and today over Kern and Tulare counties. Experience told me that was an over zealous  estimate. I must admit, I should have gone with the guidance on that model as it was pretty much right on the spot,…

March 4, 2022 Some rainfall deficits are being made up for in a hurry in the southern San Joaquin Valley. Bakersfield is reporting .51. Arvin .53, Mettler .39, and Shafter .67.  Both doppler radar and satellite imagery show a significant lobe of energy moving through  the southern San Joaquin Valley from roughly Porterville southward. Doppler…

March 3, 2022 We will be out of the office this afternoon for a medical appointment. We will return Friday, March 4. John and Trudy

March 3, 2022 A trough of low pressure is slowly approaching the California coast. Models show a secondary low moving through southern California Friday and Friday night. This means lighter precipitation amounts for central California as the main dynamics will move in just to our south. The second, much colder low, will be moving into…

March 2, 2022 Upper level high pressure has shifted eastward. Variable cloudiness is streaming over the northern half of California from a trough of low pressure stretching from the Pacific Northwest southwestward out to sea. Clearly there is a low center developing along the southern portion of the trough which continues to slow its eastward…

March 2, 2022 One more day of unusually warm weather as the upper high begins to shift eastward. Warmest locations this afternoon may hit the 80 degree mark for the first time this spring season. The first of two weather systems will arrive Thursday night and Friday. The first trough of low pressure has subtropical…

March 1, 2022 In the short term, just gorgeous weather through Wednesday night. The high responsible for the well above average temperatures will slide eastward Thursday, allowing an off shore trough of low pressure from the Gulf of Alaska to approach the northern and central California coast. Models continue to outline this trough as morphing…

March 1, 2022 Temperatures on the valley floor are running 3 to 5 degrees above 24 hours ago. The balloon soundings above both Oakland and Vandenberg indicated the freezing level is just above the 12,000 foot mark. This is indicative of warm air aloft. Upper level high pressure is directly over California this morning with…

February 28, 2023 The short term forecast continues to be spring like. Upper level high pressure will remain virtually overhead through Tuesday. It will then begin to slowly shift inland Wednesday and Wednesday night before a major change in the pattern swings us right back into winter mode late Thursday through the weekend and well…